Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 12

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Strømmen Stadion (Strømmen)

Referee: Holthe H. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Strømmen		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	4.20	4.20	1.70
	4.20	4.10	1.63
	4.35	4.10	1.63
	4.40	4.45	1.70
	4.54	4.18	1.65	Watch
	4.00	3.90	1.65
	4.27	4.10	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (4.18)	4.15 ↑ (3.97)	1.66 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strømmen
21.7%

Draw
22.4%

Stabæk
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

23.6%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

23%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strømmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømmen than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Strømmen - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: Stabæk will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Skjaerstein A. (G) 2. Rindal S. 4. Balatoni M. 13. Solberg A. 15. Paulsrud H. 8. Somesi K. 3. Crestani C. (C) 16. Nord A. 24. Paulsen M. 18. Fajfric L. 9. Hristov N.	22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 4. Naess N. (C) 5. Skjelvik J. 29. Ekorness K. 6. Matic A. 7. Solnordal O. 23. Wendt W. 24. Hanstad J. 8. Dahlby M. 10. Olderheim S.
Substitutes
6. Beck S. 17. Dashaev D. 14. Kristengard J. 1. Kristiansen M. (G) 77. Navik L. 21. Ogboji T. 19. Rogne E. 5. Sharif S. 11. Waehler M.	33. Aamodt A. 20. Boesen O. 16. Hoven A. 1. Lokkevik K. (G) 19. Lundemo M. 9. Sanyang A. 15. Veum O.
Coaches
Pettersen S.	Kjell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Somesi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Paulsrud H. ↓, Sharif S. ↑,
46', Riise F. ↓, Hoven A. ↑,
52', Nord A. ↓, Beck S. ↑,
60', Hanstad J. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
60', Matic A. ↓, Boesen O. ↑,
60', Solnordal O. ↓, Lundemo M. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Beck S. ⚽, Sharif S. (A),
71', Somesi K. ↓, Dashaev D. ↑,
71', Paulsen M. ↓, Rogne E. ↑,
78', Olderheim S. 🟨,
84', Hristov N. ↓, Waehler M. ↑,
88', Dahlby M. ↓, Aamodt A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strømmen won 1.

Strømmen has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stabæk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stabæk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stabæk is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Strømmen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Strømmen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45
11	Strommen	24	7	5	12	38:55	-17	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strømmen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.06.26	Sandnes Ulf - Strømmen	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Ranheim - Strømmen	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Strømmen - Sogndal	2:3 ✺
25.05.26	Lyn - Strømmen	1:0 ✺
20.05.26	Strømmen - Haugesund	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLL
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.06.26	Stabæk - Egersund	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Moss - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
25.05.26	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Sogndal - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Stabæk - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.02.19	Stabæk - Strømmen	2:1
01.02.18	Strømmen - Stabæk	2:1
07.03.17	Stabæk - Strømmen	3:3
Norwegian NM Cup
24.06.15	Stabæk - Strømmen	5:1
Club Friendly
11.02.15	Stabæk - Strømmen	3:2
21.02.14	Strømmen - Stabæk	2:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.08.13	Strømmen - Stabæk	2:3

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