Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 16

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Marienlyst Stadion (Drammen)

Referee: Moen C. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
World	Onefootball


	Strømsgodset		Haugesund

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	6.5	Watch
	1.55	4.4	5
	1.38	5.3	6.7	Watch
	1.38	5.58	7.54
	1.36	5.27	7.16	Watch
	1.55	4.4	5
	1.41	5.61	6.38	Watch
	2	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (2)	4.96 ↑ (3.6)	5.96 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strømsgodset
64.4%

Draw
19.5%

Haugesund
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

25.9%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strømsgodset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strømsgodset's performance.

Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haugesund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strømsgodset that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haugesund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.1%	5.2%	1.7%

Strømsgodset - Haugesund Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Strømsgodset (1.63) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Strømsgodset will win (54 of 58 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.58% – 99.62%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strømsgodset will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 42 Selected Experts predict this event. Strømsgodset (votes: 38 - 90.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bratveit P. (G) 26. Vilsvik L. 25. Taaje J. 71. Valsvik G. (C) 27. Dahl F. 17. Bakke J. 10. Stengel H. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 80. Wikheim G. 20. Conteh A. 21. Farji M.	38. Torkildsen J. (G) 25. Hope M. 5. Kukleci I. 55. Dia M. 37. Innvaer S. 16. Leite B. (C) 6. Bizoza P. 36. Helgeland E. 40. Grindhaug A. 20. Seone I. 7. Rohd E.
Substitutes
99. Ampofo J. 14. Enersen O. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 24. Johansen E. H. (G) 8. Krasniqi K. 6. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 77. Mehnert M. 5. Sormo B. 4. Westerlund S.	43. Eide L. 22. Hamalainen N. 17. Karlsen H. V. 33. Koskela M. 2. Niyukuri C. 66. Traore A. 1. Wichne A. (G)
Coaches
Fagermo D	Korkeakunnas T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Taaje J. ↓, Sormo B. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Stengel H. ⚽,
42', Bakke J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Helgeland E. ↓, Hamalainen N. ↑,
66', Dahl F. ↓, Westerlund S. ↑,
66', Bakke J. ↓, Krasniqi K. ↑,
66', Conteh A. ↓, Ampofo J. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Vilsvik L. ⚽, Wikheim G. (A),
77', Bizoza P. ↓, Karlsen H. V. ↑,
77', Rohd E. ↓, Eide L. ↑,
77', Seone I. ↓, Niyukuri C. ↑,
80', Leite B. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
87', Wikheim G. ↓, Mehnert M. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 2.

In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.

Haugesund may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Strømsgodset has had a series of away games.

In this match, Strømsgodset is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E. (Knee Injury) Ekeland J. (Knock) Melkersen E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Haugesund: Camara I. (Knee Injury) Espejord R. (Thigh Injury) Samuelsen M. (Hip Injury) Solheim V. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Haugesund: Bondhus A. (Broken collarbone)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Strømsgodset won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Haugesund - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.07.25	Bodø Glimt - Strømsgodset	1:0 ✺
25.07.25	Fredrikstad - Strømsgodset	3:2 ✺
19.07.25	Molde - Strømsgodset	4:1 ✺
13.07.25	Strømsgodset - Tromsø	2:3 ✺
05.07.25	Viking Stavanger - Strømsgodset	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FK Haugesund
Norwegian Eliteserien
26.07.25	Haugesund - Hamarkameratene	0:3 ✺
20.07.25	Vålerenga - Haugesund	3:0 ✺
13.07.25	Haugesund - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Haugesund	3:1 ✺
29.06.25	Haugesund - Kristiansund	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
06.04.25	Haugesund - Strømsgodset	0:5
15.09.24	Haugesund - Strømsgodset	0:0
20.05.24	Strømsgodset - Haugesund	2:0
08.10.23	Haugesund - Strømsgodset	1:0
04.06.23	Strømsgodset - Haugesund	1:2
29.10.22	Strømsgodset - Haugesund	1:2
18.04.22	Haugesund - Strømsgodset	0:1

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