Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 5

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Marienlyst Stadion (Drammen)

Referee: Al Hatem A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Strømsgodset		Strømmen

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.25	5.75
	1.47	4.5	5.25
	1.45	4.85	5.7	Watch
	1.47	4.91	6.07
	1.47	4.77	5.8	Watch
	1.4	4.6	5.5
	1.44	4.99	5.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)	4.84 ↑ (4.59)	5.69 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strømsgodset
64.4%

Draw
19.2%

Strømmen
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

20.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

21.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strømsgodset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Strømmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømmen than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Strømsgodset - Strømmen Predictions

Users Predictions: Strømsgodset will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lamhauge M. (G) 14. Enersen O. 5. Sormo B. 71. Valsvik G. (C) 3. Dedes V. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 10. Stengel H. 80. Wikheim G. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 9. Melkersen E. 11. Pingel S.	12. Skjaerstein A. (G) 98. Romo Lillo T. (C) 4. Balatoni M. 2. Rindal S. 24. Paulsen M. 8. Somesi K. 6. Beck S. 17. Dashaev D. 18. Fajfric L. 16. Nord A. 9. Hristov N.
Substitutes
22. Antonsen K. 27. Bjornstad T. 8. Krasniqi K. 12. Lampinen-Skaug S. (G) 37. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 77. Mehnert M. 39. Spiten M. 25. Taaje J. 26. Vilsvik L.	14. Kristengard J. 1. Kristiansen M. (G) 77. Navik L. 23. Nilsen S. 21. Ogboji T. 15. Paulsrud H. 20. Samson H. 13. Solberg A.
Coaches
Hoseth M.	Wedeborg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Lamhauge M. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Wikheim G. ⚽, Stengel H. (A),
34', Romo Lillo T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. ↓, Antonsen K. ↑,
62', Enersen O. ↓, Vilsvik L. ↑,
62', Heredia-Randen A. ↓, Krasniqi K. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Pingel S. ⚽, Dedes V. (A),
65', Beck S. 🟨,
72', Wikheim G. ↓, Mehnert M. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Mehnert M. ⚽, Melkersen E. (A),
74', Rindal S. ↓, Ogboji T. ↑,
74', Dashaev D. ↓, Paulsrud H. ↑,
74', Beck S. ↓, Navik L. ↑,
74', Fajfric L. ↓, Kristengard J. ↑,
77', Stengel H. ↓, Marcello Silalahi S. A. ↑,
82', Nord A. ↓, Samson H. ↑,

Preview

Strømsgodset has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Strømmen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Strømsgodset is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stromsgodset: 11.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Stromsgodset	24	15	6	3	61:31	30	51
11	Strommen	24	7	5	12	38:55	-17	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.04.26	Sandnes Ulf - Strømsgodset	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Strømsgodset - Sogndal	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Haugesund - Strømsgodset	4:2 ✺
05.04.26	Strømsgodset - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Strømsgodset - Sandefjord	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLWT
- Strømmen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.04.26	Strømmen - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Åsane - Strømmen	4:5 ✺
11.04.26	Strømmen - Egersund	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Strømmen - Grorud	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Kongsvinger - Strømmen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 TWLWW

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