Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 1

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Marienlyst Stadion (Drammen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Strømsgodset		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.8	3.2
	2	3.9	3.2	Watch
	1.97	4.28	3.32
	1.91	4.38	3.2	Watch
	1.91	3.8	3.1
	1.94	4.1	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.08)	4.04 ↑ (4.03)	3.2 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strømsgodset
48%

Draw
23%

Stabæk
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

23.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

23%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strømsgodset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Strømsgodset - Stabæk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lamhauge M. (G) 3. Dedes V. 5. Sormo B. 25. Taaje J. 26. Vilsvik L. 10. Stengel H. (C) 22. Antonsen K. 80. Wikheim G. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 77. Mehnert M. 11. Pingel S.	22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 14. Lereng E. 4. Naess N. (C) 29. Ekorness K. 28. Tobiassen B. 7. Solnordal O. 23. Wendt W. 24. Hanstad J. 8. Lankhof-Dahlby M. 10. Olderheim S.
Substitutes
14. Enersen O. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 8. Krasniqi K. 12. Lampinen-Skaug S. (G) 37. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 9. Melkersen E. 71. Valsvik G.	25. Afrim D. 27. Hansen M. 1. Lokkevik K. (G) 21. Onsrud K. 18. Oppedal O. 9. Sanyang A. 5. Skjelvik J. 15. Veum O.
Coaches
Hoseth M.	Kjell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Lereng E. ↓, Veum O. ↑,
45+1', Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Sormo B. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Hanstad J. ⚽,
62', Sormo B. ↓, Valsvik G. ↑,
62', Mehnert M. ↓, Enersen O. ↑,
62', Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. ↓, Krasniqi K. ↑,
66', Antonsen K. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Vilsvik L. ⚽, Valsvik G. (A),
67', Lankhof-Dahlby M. ↓, Afrim D. ↑,
72', Valsvik G. 🟨,
74', Riise F. ↓, Skjelvik J. ↑,
74', Tobiassen B. ↓, Onsrud K. ↑,
76', Ekorness K. 🟨,
78', Wikheim G. ↓, Melkersen E. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Pingel S. ⚽,
85', Pingel S. ↓, Spiten M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Strømsgodset may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Stabæk has had a series of home games.

Strømsgodset will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Strømsgodset won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.4:1.3).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stromsgodset: 11.04% Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Stromsgodset	24	15	6	3	61:31	30	51
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45

Last Results with these Odds

Stabæk - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.89%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strømsgodset IF
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Strømsgodset - Sandefjord	2:2 ✺
20.03.26	Strømsgodset - Hønefoss	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Strømsgodset - Mjøndalen	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Vålerenga - Strømsgodset	4:3 ✺
28.02.26	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Strømsgodset	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTLL
- Stabæk Fotball
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Stabæk - Moss	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	2:3 ✺
13.03.26	Stabæk - Egersund	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Stabæk - Sogndal	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Sandefjord - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.02.25	Stabæk - Strømsgodset	1:4
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.09.23	Strømsgodset - Stabæk	2:1
03.07.23	Stabæk - Strømsgodset	0:1
29.09.21	Stabæk - Strømsgodset	0:0
Norwegian NM Cup
22.09.21	Strømsgodset - Stabæk	5:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.07.21	Strømsgodset - Stabæk	2:1
22.12.20	Strømsgodset - Stabæk	0:4

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