Match Info

League One - Relegation - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Meadowbank Sports Centre (Edinburgh)


	Edinburgh City		East Fife

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.15
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.8	3.45	2.29
	3.09	3.59	2.17
	3.05	3.49	2.22	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.7
	3	3.55	2.14
	2.8	3.45	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.45)	3.42 ↑ (3.27)	2.32 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh City
33%

Draw
27.1%

East Fife
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.5%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

East Fife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting East Fife's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Edinburgh City - East Fife Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Edinburgh City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). East Fife will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. East Fife (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - East Fife (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. East Fife (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weir M. (G) 4. Robertson J. (C) 5. McArthur L. 6. Lynch E. 3. Mitchell Q. 10. Jarvis J. 8. Jones S. 11. Lawson I. 24. Zaid M. 7. Stokes J. 33. See O.	21. McFarlane L. (G) 4. Millar K. 19. Munro A. 5. Easton B. 15. Peggie R. 7. Norey J. 6. McManus C. 22. McKenna M. 18. Higginbotham K. 10. Trouten A. 14. Austin N.
Substitutes
12. Beveridge D. (G) 25. Daramola T. 2. Gormley S. 23. Grigor J. 20. Hamilton R. 15. Scally S.	20. Bah M. 1. Fleming A. (G) 11. Healy J. 23. Jones R. 16. Laaref A. 12. Nicol G. 9. Shepherd S. 8. Slattery P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', McManus C. 🟨,
61', Norey J. ↓, Laaref A. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Zaid M. ⚽, Stokes J. (A),
79', Austin N. ↓, Shepherd S. ↑,
81', Higginbotham K. ↓, Healy J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg./

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh City won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Edinburgh City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh City FC
Scottish League Two
03.05.25	Spartans - Edinburgh City	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Edinburgh City - Forfar Athletic	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Edinburgh City - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Edinburgh City - Clyde	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLWW
- East Fife
Scottish League Two
03.05.25	East Fife - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Peterhead - East Fife	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	East Fife - Stirling Albion	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - East Fife	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Forfar Athletic - East Fife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
22.03.25	Edinburgh City - East Fife	5:2
25.01.25	East Fife - Edinburgh City	4:1
08.01.25	Edinburgh City - East Fife	2:4
10.08.24	East Fife - Edinburgh City	2:0
Scottish Cup
07.12.16	Edinburgh City - East Fife	0:1
29.11.16	East Fife - Edinburgh City	1:1
Club Friendly
05.07.16	East Fife - Edinburgh City	2:0

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