Match Info

Date: 10 March 2020, Tuesday


	Stranraer		Montrose

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.75	1.8
	3.4	3.5	1.87
	3.3	3.65	1.9
	3.52	3.53	1.81
	3.73	4.04	1.89
	3.7	3.9	1.88
	3.72	3.76	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.18)	3.73 ↑ (3.69)	1.87 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stranraer
25.7%

Draw
24.7%

Montrose
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

25%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

19.6%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montrose could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.1%	9.4%	62.5%

Stranraer - Montrose Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Stranraer will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Montrose will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montrose: 45.7% – 79.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish League One
07.03.20	Montrose - Stranraer	4:1 ✺
22.02.20	East Fife - Stranraer	4:2 ✺
15.02.20	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	1:1 ✺
08.02.20	Stranraer - Raith Rovers	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Stranraer - Falkirk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLTTT
- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
07.03.20	Montrose - Stranraer	4:1 ✺
03.03.20	Clyde - Montrose	2:1 ✺
29.02.20	Montrose - Airdrieonians	1:0 ✺
22.02.20	Falkirk - Montrose	1:0 ✺
15.02.20	Montrose - Dumbarton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
07.03.20	Montrose - Stranraer	4:1
26.10.19	Montrose - Stranraer	2:1
03.08.19	Stranraer - Montrose	2:2
30.03.19	Montrose - Stranraer	3:1
05.01.19	Stranraer - Montrose	1:2
17.11.18	Montrose - Stranraer	1:1
25.08.18	Stranraer - Montrose	2:0

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