The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
East Fife 57.4%
Draw 24.7%
Stranraer 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58%
24.9%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
23.4%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
East Fife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
East Fife - Stranraer Predictions
Users Predictions:
East Fife will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. McFarlane L. (G) 2. Murdoch S. 20. Bah M. 19. Munro A. 3. Newton L. 6. McManus C. 22. McKenna M. 4. Millar K. 10. Trouten A. 23. Jones R. 15. Peggie R.
1. Kane S. (G) 17. McKnight K. 5. Ross C. (C) 26. Reid L. 19. Ecrepont F. 24. Lang D. 14. Hawkshaw D. 2. Robertson S. 16. Quigg A. 10. Dunlop E. 25. Edgar R.
Substitutes
14. Austin N. 1. Fleming A. (G) 11. Healy J. 18. Higginbotham K. 16. Laaref A. 7. Norey J. 9. Shepherd S.
3. Brindley T. 6. Docherty S. 21. Foster R. 23. Grant M. 18. Guthrie M. 13. Lane J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Robertson S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
62', 0 - 1, Hawkshaw D. (Pen),
63', Millar K. ↓, Norey J. ↑,
63', Peggie R. ↓, Laaref A. ↑,
63', Jones R. ↓, Austin N. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Lang D. ⚽,
71', Trouten A. ↓, Higginbotham K. ↑,
75', Edgar R. ↓, Grant M. ↑,
75', Dunlop E. ↓, Guthrie M. ↑,
76', Newton L. 🟨,
77', Ecrepont F. ↓, Brindley T. ↑,
78', McManus C. ↓, Shepherd S. ↑,
82', Robertson S. ↓, Foster R. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Lang D. ⚽,
89', Foster R. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches East Fife won 3.
Recent matches East Fife is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Stranraer is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Stranraer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Stranraer have a series of home games.
In this match East Fife is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches East Fife won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 46:26 (average 2.3:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams East Fife won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29:16 (average 2.9:1.6).