Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 25

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Stresa Vergante		Castellanzese

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.95	2.65
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.4	2.93	2.63
	2.48	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 (2.45)	3 ↓ (3.02)	2.67 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stresa Vergante
36.6%

Draw
29.9%

Castellanzese
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

29.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

31.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stresa Vergante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stresa Vergante than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Stresa Vergante - Castellanzese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Stresa Vergante is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Castellanzese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castellanzese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stresa Vergante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stresa Vergante
Italian Serie D - Group A
29.01.23	PDHAE - Stresa Vergante	0:0 ✺
25.01.23	Stresa Vergante - Chisola	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Derthona - Stresa Vergante	3:0 ✺
18.01.23	Unione Sanremo - Stresa Vergante	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Stresa Vergante - Pinerolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLLTL
- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group A
29.01.23	Castellanzese - Gozzano	2:0 ✺
25.01.23	Vado - Castellanzese	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Castellanzese - Ligorna	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Chieri - Castellanzese	0:0 ✺
11.01.23	Fossano - Castellanzese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
02.10.22	Castellanzese - Stresa Vergante	1:0

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