Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 23

Date: 25 January 2023, Wednesday


	Vado		Castellanzese

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.25
	1.95	3.2	3.75
	1.99	3.14	3.43
	2	3	3.4
	1.97	3.32	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.01)	3.17 ↑ (3.13)	3.45 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vado
45.5%

Draw
28.4%

Castellanzese
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

29.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Vado - Castellanzese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs) and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Castellanzese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vado have a series of guest games.

Vado will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vado won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Vado won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.01.23	PDHAE - Vado	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Vado - Chisola	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Derthona - Vado	0:0 ✺
21.12.22	Pinerolo - Vado	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Castanese - Vado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWTTT
- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.01.23	Castellanzese - Ligorna	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Chieri - Castellanzese	0:0 ✺
11.01.23	Fossano - Castellanzese	2:2 ✺
21.12.22	Castellanzese - PDHAE	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Castellanzese - Borgosesia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
22.09.22	Castellanzese - Vado	4:2
14.02.21	Castellanzese - Vado	4:0
27.09.20	Vado - Castellanzese	1:1

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