Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Sturm Graz		Slovan Bratislava

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	5
	1.7	3.5	4.4
	1.7	3.75	5	Watch
	1.7	3.8	5.2
	1.74	3.76	5.11
	1.75	3.7	4.2
	1.73	3.84	4.71
	1.77	3.65	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.81)	3.7 ↑ (3.68)	4.79 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
54.7%

Draw
25.5%

Slovan Bratislava
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.4%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Slovan Bratislava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	6.9%	17.2%

Sturm Graz - Slovan Bratislava Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Slovan Bratislava will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jaros V. (G) 22. Gazibegovic J. 42. Affengruber D. 5. Wuthrich G. 8. Prass A. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 24. Lavalee D. 10. Kiteishvili O. 19. Horvat T. 11. Sarkaria M. 18. Biereth M.	31. Trnovsky M. (G) 25. Pauschek L. 4. Kashia G. 12. Bajric K. 8. Zmrhal J. 20. Kankava J. 88. Savvidis K. 33. Kucka J. (C) 11. Barseghyan T. 10. Rodrigues G. 13. Strelec D.
Substitutes
6. Borkovic A. 15. Boving W. 36. Camara A. 35. Geyrhofer N. 38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. 2. Johnston M. 31. Maric L. (G) 28. Schnegg D. 14. Serrano J. 45. Wiener-Pucher C. (G) 9. Wlodarczyk S.	35. Hrdina A. (G) 26. Lichy F. 18. Marcelli N. 30. Mikolas A. (G) 24. Tolic M. 27. Vojtko M. 7. Weiss V. jr.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Weiss V. sr.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Sturm is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Slovan Bratislava is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Slovan Bratislava have a series of guest games.

In this match Sturm is a favorite.

There will not play in Sturm: Scherpen K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Slovan Bratislava: Borjan M. (Red Card) Krizan R. (Knee Injury) Risvanis S. (Broken cheekbone) Wimmer K. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Sturm: Jatta S. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sturm won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Sturm won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
09.02.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
02.02.24	Sturm Graz - Austria Wien	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.01.24	Sturm Graz - Rukh Lviv	0:0 ✺
25.01.24	Sturm Graz - Pogoń Szczecin	1:6 ✺
20.01.24	Cracovia - Sturm Graz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWTLW
- Slovan Bratislava
Slovak Superliga
09.02.24	Žilina - Slovan Bratislava	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Slovan Bratislava - NK Bravo	1:1 ✺
29.01.24	Al-Wakrah - Slovan Bratislava	1:4 ✺
26.01.24	Al-Rayyan - Slovan Bratislava	2:2 ✺
17.01.24	Vyškov - Slovan Bratislava	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.09.12	Sturm Graz - Slovan Bratislava	5:1

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