Match Info

NPL South Australia - Round 20

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Karinya Reserve (Eden Hills)


	Sturt Lions		Adelaide Comets

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.90	3.40
	1.89	3.60	3.15
	1.73	3.85	3.55
	1.82	4.06	3.64	Watch
	1.80	3.55	3.40
	1.84	3.65	3.52	Watch
	1.84	3.70	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)	3.76 ↑ (3.65)	3.46 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturt Lions
49.7%

Draw
24.1%

Adelaide Comets
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

24.4%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

23.7%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturt Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Adelaide Comets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Comets than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sturt Lions - Adelaide Comets Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sturt Lions will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Adelaide Comets will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ SA State League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 1.

Sturt Lions is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Adelaide Comets is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sturt Lions may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sturt Lions could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sturt Lions won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturt Lions
Australian NPL South Australian
08.08.26	Croydon - Sturt Lions	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Adelaide United U23 - Sturt Lions	2:3 ✺
18.07.26	West Adelaide - Sturt Lions	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Sturt Lions - Playford City Patriots	1:0 ✺
26.06.26	West Torrens Birkalla - Sturt Lions	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTWL
- Adelaide Comets
Australian NPL South Australian
07.08.26	Adelaide Comets - North Eastern MetroStars	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Adelaide Comets - FK Beograd	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Campbelltown City - Adelaide Comets	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Adelaide Comets - Croydon	1:4 ✺
26.06.26	Adelaide Comets - Adelaide City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
08.05.26	Adelaide Comets - Sturt Lions	2:1
08.07.23	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Comets	2:0
22.04.23	Adelaide Comets - Sturt Lions	0:0
11.06.22	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Comets	1:4
04.03.22	Adelaide Comets - Sturt Lions	2:0
15.10.21	Adelaide Comets - Sturt Lions	1:0 ET
04.09.21	Adelaide Comets - Sturt Lions	4:0

Sturt Lions - Adelaide Comets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide