Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stuttgart		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.90	2.00
	3.20	3.80	2.05
	3.30	3.80	2.07
	3.48	4.00	2.12
	3.41	3.95	2.06
	3.40	3.80	2.05
	3.39	4.01	2.13
	3.30	3.90	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.87)	3.9 ↑ (3.79)	2.07 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
28.7%

Draw
24.7%

Atlético Madrid
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.2%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

25.3%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	23.8%	71.4%

Stuttgart - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Atlético will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Stuttgart has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Atlético is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Atlético holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Stuttgart: Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Drljaca S. (Off the roster) Stergiou L. (Off the roster) Tomas T. (Muscle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Atlético: Koke (Muscle Injury) Romero C. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Stuttgart has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for Stuttgart against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
15	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Atl. Madrid: 2.43%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
17.10.26	Hamburger SV - Stuttgart	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Slovan Bratislava - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Paderborn - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Stuttgart - Greuther Fürth	5:0 ✺
25.09.26	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
17.10.26	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Atlético Madrid - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.10.26	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.08.18	Stuttgart - Atlético Madrid	1:1

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