Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 9h 52m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Austria	18:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	14:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Czech Republic	18:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
France	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	18:00	DFB Play, RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	19:00	ERT Sports 2
Hong Kong	01:00	M Plus Live
Mexico	11:00	Disney+
Norway	18:00	VG+
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	17:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Serbia	18:00	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	18:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Switzerland	18:00	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
International	17:00	OneFootball TV


	Paderborn		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.10	1.57	Watch
	5.25	4.60	1.55
	5.50	4.60	1.50
	5.15	4.55	1.62
	5.2	4.47	1.56	Watch
	5.00	4.45	1.55
	5.06	4.33	1.56	Watch
	4.70	4.20	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↓ (5.43)	4.41 ↑ (4.34)	1.56 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
18.2%

Draw
21.3%

Stuttgart
60.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.2%

21.5%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

21.2%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Paderborn - Stuttgart Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Paderborn is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Stuttgart has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Paderborn could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Stuttgart carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Paderborn has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Paderborn against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 2:6 goals (averaging 0.7:2 per game).

Outrights of German DFB Pokal for now

Paderborn: 0.71%

Last Results with these Odds

Stuttgart - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.27%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German Bundesliga
24.10.26	Paderborn - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
17.10.26	Werder Bremen - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Paderborn - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.09.26	DC United - Paderborn	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.09.26	Paderborn - Hoffenheim	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTLWW
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
23.10.26	Stuttgart - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Stuttgart - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.10.26	Hamburger SV - Stuttgart	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Slovan Bratislava - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Paderborn - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Paderborn - Stuttgart	0:2
German DFB Pokal
31.01.23	Paderborn - Stuttgart	1:2
German Bundesliga
23.05.15	Paderborn - Stuttgart	1:2
20.12.14	Stuttgart - Paderborn	0:0

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