Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Australia	00:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	10:30	SportyNet
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	10:30	Disney+
China	21:30	Migu
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, beIN Sports MAX 9
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 5
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	ZEE5
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	07:30	FOX One
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 5
Singapore	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	20:30	AIS PLAY
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	Peacock
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	Hamburger SV		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.33	1.67	Watch
	4.00	4.20	1.75
	4.00	4.10	1.73	Watch
	4.84	4.50	1.71
	3.76	4.29	1.83	Watch
	4.75	4.40	1.65
	4.41	4.41	1.70	Watch
	4.50	4.50	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.53)	4.34 ↑ (4.06)	1.72 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
22.1%

Draw
22%

Stuttgart
55.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.9%

23.4%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

23.3%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stuttgart's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stuttgart, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.7%	0%	89.3%

Hamburger SV - Stuttgart Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 24. Capaldo N. (C) 33. Bornauw S. 17. Omari W. 3. Wolfe D. 5. Adeline M. 4. Nadir B. 28. Muheim M. 37. Lemke L. 20. Vieira F. 15. Poulsen Y.	41. Seimen D. (G) 4. Vagnoman J. 29. Jeltsch F. 24. Chabot J. 3. Hendriks R. 16. Karazor A. 6. Stiller A. 11. El Khannouss B. 26. Undav D. (C) 18. Leweling J. 9. Demirovic E.
Substitutes
22. Amoako K. 7. El Ouahdi Z. 11. Gronbaek A. 9. Moffi T. 43. Nandja S. 38. Rossing-Lelesiit A. 19. Stange O. 12. Tangvik S. (G) 23. Torunarigha J.	22. Assignon L. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 10. Fuhrich C. 14. Jaquez L. 17. Pejcinovic D. 21. Promel G. 44. Sauer L. 47. Spalt Y. 20. Stergiou L.
Coaches
Polzin M.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Omari W. 🟨,
61', Poulsen Y. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
67', El Khannouss B. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
67', Karazor A. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
77', Leweling J. ↓, Sauer L. ↑,
77', Demirovic E. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
78', Vieira F. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
78', Adeline M. ↓, Gronbaek A. ↑,
78', Lemke L. ↓, El Ouahdi Z. ↑,
82', Capaldo N. 🟨,
84', Nadir B. ↓, Amoako K. ↑,
85', Stange O. 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Muheim M. ⚽, El Ouahdi Z. (A),
90', Hendriks R. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1.

In recent outings, Hamburg has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Stuttgart shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Hamburg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Stuttgart for this game.

Confirmed absences for Hamburg: Daka P. (Thigh Injury) Remberg N. (Knee Injury) Vuskovic M. (Doping).

Confirmed absences for Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Knee Injury) Diehl J. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Hamburg: Jatta B. (Groin Injury) Lokonga A. S. (Lacking Match Fitness).

Doubtful / questionable for Stuttgart: Mittelstadt M. (Heel Injury) Nartey N. (Muscle Injury) Tomas T. (Muscle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Hamburg has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:39 (averaging 1.4:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hamburg against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 19:20 goals (averaging 1.9:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Hamburger SV	7	3	0	4	6:16	-10	9
15	Stuttgart	7	2	0	5	10:13	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Hamburger SV - Copenhagen	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Hamburger SV - Köln	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	5:0 ✺
06.09.26	Hamburger SV - Mainz	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWLL
- VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Slovan Bratislava - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Paderborn - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Stuttgart - Greuther Fürth	5:0 ✺
25.09.26	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
12.04.26	Stuttgart - Hamburger SV	4:0
30.11.25	Hamburger SV - Stuttgart	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
05.06.23	Hamburger SV - Stuttgart	1:3
01.06.23	Stuttgart - Hamburger SV	3:0
Club Friendly
26.08.20	Stuttgart - Hamburger SV	3:2
German 2 Bundesliga
28.05.20	Stuttgart - Hamburger SV	3:2
German DFB Pokal
29.10.19	Hamburger SV - Stuttgart	1:2 ET

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