Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Subiza		Alfaro

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.35
	2.75	3.2	2.36
	2.76	3.27	2.38	Watch
	2.88	3.21	2.44
	2.75	3.2	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.4)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	2.38 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Subiza
32.9%

Draw
28.7%

Alfaro
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

27.8%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Subiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Subiza's performance.

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alfaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Subiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alfaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Subiza - Alfaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Aguinaga P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Asiron J. ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, Auria M. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Subiza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Subiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.03.25	Real Sociedad C - Subiza	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Teruel - Subiza	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Subiza - Barbastro	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Anguiano - Subiza	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Subiza - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LLWWL
- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.03.25	Alfaro - Barbastro	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Anguiano - Alfaro	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Alfaro - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	SD Logroñés - Alfaro	4:1 ✺
23.02.25	Alfaro - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.11.24	Alfaro - Subiza	2:0

Subiza - Alfaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide