Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 16

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja (Minas)


	Sud América		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.72
	4.33	3.4	1.75
	4.59	3.3	1.67
	4.34	3.4	1.85	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.75
	4.57	3.34	1.73
	4.33	3.4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (3.84)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	1.75 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
20.7%

Draw
27.2%

Montevideo City Torque
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

27%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

26.7%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Sud América - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 0 - 1, Costa S. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Navarro A. ⚽,
89', Costa S. 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.08.24	Albion Montevideo - Sud América	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Sud América - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	Atenas de San Carlos - Sud América	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Sud América - La Luz	3:0 ✺
13.07.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Sud América	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTLWT
- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.08.24	Montevideo City Torque - La Luz	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
29.07.24	Rentistas - Montevideo City Torque	0:0 ✺
22.07.24	Montevideo City Torque - Cooper	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Tacuarembó - Montevideo City Torque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.05.24	Montevideo City Torque - Sud América	2:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.09.21	Sud América - Montevideo City Torque	1:2
15.05.21	Montevideo City Torque - Sud América	0:1
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.08.19	Sud América - Montevideo City Torque	0:0

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