Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 13

Date: 29 July 2024, Monday

Location: Complejo Rentistas (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uruguay	VTV+
World	Disney+


	Rentistas		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.9	1.95
	4	3	1.95
	4.17	3.1	2
	4.18	3.03	1.93	Watch
	4	2.9	1.95
	4.18	2.98	1.92	Watch
	3.85	3	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.78)	2.99 ↓ (3.37)	1.95 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
22.8%

Draw
30.6%

Montevideo City Torque
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

27.1%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

28.9%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo City Torque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo City Torque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Rentistas - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rentistas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Montevideo City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rentistas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Montevideo City is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Rentistas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.07.24	Albion Montevideo - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
15.07.24	Rentistas - Colón Montevideo	2:1 ✺
10.07.24	Sud América - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
05.07.24	Rentistas - La Luz	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWTTL
- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.07.24	Montevideo City Torque - Cooper	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Tacuarembó - Montevideo City Torque	0:0 ✺
09.07.24	Montevideo City Torque - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
05.07.24	Oriental de La Paz - Montevideo City Torque	0:2 ✺
21.06.24	Montevideo City Torque - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.03.24	Rentistas - Montevideo City Torque	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.09.22	Rentistas - Montevideo City Torque	3:0
19.06.22	Montevideo City Torque - Rentistas	3:1
11.04.22	Montevideo City Torque - Rentistas	2:0
16.10.21	Montevideo City Torque - Rentistas	1:2
18.06.21	Rentistas - Montevideo City Torque	0:2
21.02.21	Rentistas - Montevideo City Torque	1:2

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