Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 36

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Alvechurch		Harborough Town

	1	X	2
	4.85	3.55	1.6
	5.03	3.73	1.65
	4.93	4.03	1.62	Watch
	4.8	3.3	1.62
	5.24	3.6	1.58
	4.33	3.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↓ (5.1)	3.58 ↓ (3.88)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
18.5%

Draw
25.2%

Harborough Town
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

23.7%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

22.8%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Harborough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Alvechurch - Harborough Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Hickey B. ⚽,
85', 0 - 2, Putman E. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Recent performances by Alvechurch have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Harborough is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Harborough is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alvechurch won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Alvechurch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Alvechurch: 2.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Alvechurch	9	6	2	1	17:4	13	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
17.03.26	Alvechurch - Stamford	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bishops Stortford - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Kettering Town - Alvechurch	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Banbury United - Alvechurch	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Alvechurch - Stourbridge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLL
- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
17.03.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Harborough Town	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Harborough Town - Real Bedford	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Bishops Stortford - Harborough Town	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Harborough Town - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Banbury United - Harborough Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
08.11.25	Harborough Town - Alvechurch	1:0
21.12.24	Harborough Town - Alvechurch	0:1
13.08.24	Alvechurch - Harborough Town	1:1

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