Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Sudbury Town		Aveley

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.91
	3.3	3.3	1.93
	3.5	3.65	1.88
	3.38	3.64	1.89
	3.57	3.58	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.45	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.37)	3.52 ↓ (3.54)	1.91 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sudbury Town
26.7%

Draw
25.7%

Aveley
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

25.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

24.9%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sudbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Sudbury Town - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Sudbury has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aveley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sudbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aveley has had a series of home games.

Aveley will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
08.09.25	St Ives Town - Sudbury Town	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Sudbury Town - Banbury United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Bury Town - Sudbury Town	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Sudbury Town - Quorn	0:4 ✺
16.08.25	Alvechurch - Sudbury Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL
- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.09.25	Aveley - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
29.08.25	Aveley - Hashtag United	3:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.08.25	Canvey Island - Aveley	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Aveley - Chatham Town	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Aveley - Burgess Hill Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWLT

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