Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Aveley		Chatham Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.25
	2.58	3.55	2.25
	2.7	3.69	2.19
	2.74	3.45	2.25
	2.26	3.5	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.26)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	2.36 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
35.5%

Draw
25.9%

Chatham Town
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.5%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

27%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aveley's form might have worsened.

Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chatham Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aveley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chatham Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aveley - Chatham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
84', 0 - 1, Allen B. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 2, Oldfield S. ⚽,

Preview

Aveley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chatham is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aveley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Aveley - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.08.25	Aveley - Burgess Hill Town	3:3 ✺
12.08.25	Welling United - Aveley	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Aveley - Brentwood Town	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Bishops Stortford - Aveley	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Aveley - Ebbsfleet United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWTLT
- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.08.25	Chatham Town - Cheshunt	1:0 ✺
12.08.25	Chatham Town - Ramsgate	4:2 ✺
09.08.25	St Albans City - Chatham Town	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Chatham Town - Coventry City	5:1 ✺
08.07.25	Maidstone United - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWTWW

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