Match Info

National League North - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham)


	Fylde		Hereford

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	5
	1.52	4.25	5.15
	1.51	4.26	5.55
	1.62	4.24	4.43	Watch
	1.51	4.25	5.47
	1.58	3.95	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)	4.18 ↓ (4.24)	4.98 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
59.6%

Draw
22%

Hereford
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

21.9%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

21.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Fylde - Hereford Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fylde (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Ormerod D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Williams A. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Ustabasi J. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Fylde is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Hereford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fylde may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fylde is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fylde won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fylde won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League North
21.10.25	Spennymoor Town - Fylde	0:5 ✺
18.10.25	King`s Lynn Town - Fylde	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Fylde - Worksop Town	2:3 ✺
07.10.25	Fylde - Leamington	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	AFC Telford United - Fylde	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLTW
- Hereford FC
English National League North
21.10.25	Hereford - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	South Shields - Hereford	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Leamington - Hereford	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Hereford - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:3 ✺
23.09.25	Sporting Khalsa - Hereford	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.02.23	Fylde - Hereford	1:3
25.10.22	Hereford - Fylde	2:1
09.04.22	Fylde - Hereford	2:1
28.08.21	Hereford - Fylde	1:4
12.12.20	Hereford - Fylde	2:1

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