Match Info

Date: 11 May 2021, Tuesday


	Hong Kong Rangers		Sun Pegasus

	1	X	2
	6	5.2	1.34
	5.85	5.9	1.41
	7	4.2	1.36
	6.95	4.95	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.45 ↑ (3.45)	5.06 ↑ (3.72)	1.37 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hong Kong Rangers
14.3%

Draw
18.2%

Sun Pegasus
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

24.4%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

19.2%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hong Kong Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hong Kong Rangers's form might have worsened.

Sun Pegasus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sun Pegasus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hong Kong Rangers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hong Kong Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sun Pegasus than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Hong Kong Rangers - Sun Pegasus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage)).

Hong Kong Rangers is Premier League (Losers stage)

Sun Pegasus is Qualified for Premier League (Winners stage)

Hong Kong Rangers is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sun Pegasus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hong Kong Rangers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sun Pegasus is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hong Kong Rangers won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Hong Kong Rangers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hong Kong Rangers
Hong Kong Premier League
07.05.21	Kitchee - Hong Kong Rangers	3:1 ✺
02.05.21	Hong Kong Rangers - Resources Capital	0:1 ✺
27.04.21	Hong Kong Rangers - Lee Man	1:0 ✺
18.04.21	Hong Kong Rangers - Southern District	1:2 ✺
12.04.21	Eastern AA - Hong Kong Rangers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLWLT
- Sun Pegasus
Hong Kong Premier League
06.05.21	Happy Valley - Sun Pegasus	1:3 ✺
24.04.21	Sun Pegasus - Eastern AA	0:1 ✺
18.04.21	Sun Pegasus - Resources Capital	3:2 ✺
11.04.21	Lee Man - Sun Pegasus	1:3 ✺
05.04.21	Southern District - Sun Pegasus	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
28.02.21	Sun Pegasus - Hong Kong Rangers	2:0
28.09.19	Sun Pegasus - Hong Kong Rangers	1:2
04.02.18	Hong Kong Rangers - Sun Pegasus	1:3
04.11.17	Sun Pegasus - Hong Kong Rangers	1:3
27.09.15	Sun Pegasus - Hong Kong Rangers	1:0
18.04.15	Hong Kong Rangers - Sun Pegasus	1:4
18.10.14	Sun Pegasus - Hong Kong Rangers	5:1

Hong Kong Rangers - Sun Pegasus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide