Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Sundsvall		AIK

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.55	Watch
	6.25	4.1	1.5
	6.75	4.35	1.48
	6.2	4.1	1.48
	6.92	4.47	1.51
	6.5	3.7	1.47	Watch
	6.5	4.35	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.45 ↑ (4.51)	4.15 ↑ (3.89)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
14.6%

Draw
22.6%

AIK
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

23.9%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

24.3%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sundsvall's form might have worsened.

AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AIK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sundsvall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AIK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	5.6%	88.9%

Sundsvall - AIK Predictions

Users Predictions: AIK will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 6).

Sundsvall has the most likely position - 16 (26.47%), has project points - 26, has currently - 3, has a good chance of relegated (55%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

AIK has the most likely position - 4 (12.4%), has project points - 49, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (5%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

This event has small quality 20, importance 34, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 0.

Sundsvall is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches AIK is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

AIK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match AIK is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Sundsvall won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.04.22	Elfsborg - Sundsvall	3:1 ✺
20.04.22	Sundsvall - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Varbergs BoIS - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
09.04.22	Sundsvall - Hammarby	1:5 ✺
03.04.22	Sirius - Sundsvall	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLL
- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.04.22	AIK - Djurgården	1:0 ✺
20.04.22	AIK - Varbergs BoIS	1:0 ✺
17.04.22	Malmö - AIK	3:0 ✺
10.04.22	AIK - Norrköping	1:0 ✺
02.04.22	Häcken - AIK	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.02.22	AIK - Sundsvall	3:0
04.04.21	AIK - Sundsvall	1:1
31.01.20	Sundsvall - AIK	1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.11.19	AIK - Sundsvall	2:1
24.05.19	Sundsvall - AIK	1:1
Club Friendly
25.01.19	Sundsvall - AIK	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
04.11.18	AIK - Sundsvall	0:0

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