Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 11

Date: 6 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Oppong F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Sundsvall		GAIS

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.67	Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.68
	4.5	3.85	1.68
	4.68	3.97	1.71
	4.33	3.6	1.67	Watch
	4.4	3.86	1.7	Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (3.14)	3.8 ↑ (3.44)	1.69 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
21.1%

Draw
24.2%

GAIS
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.1%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.7%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sundsvall's form might have worsened.

GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sundsvall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GAIS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	22.7%	63.6%

Sundsvall - GAIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Sundsvall will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). GAIS will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GAIS: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jonsson O. (G) 15. Lundstrom R. 19. Stenshagen T. 3. Lundgren F. 6. Lindkvist R. 7. Andersson E. 30. Jajic D. 22. Simba M. 14. Bengtsson J. 21. Engblom P. (C) 11. Carstrom J.	1. Krasniqi M. (G) 6. Wangberg A. 12. Frej R. 22. Cardaklija A. 5. Andersen N. (C) 16. Salihovic D. 7. Aberg J. 25. Lindberg J. 9. Lundgren G. 11. Lindberg J. 10. Celik M.
Substitutes
26. Carrick E. 29. Dellkrans E. 18. Forsberg L. 9. Hallenius L. 17. Larsson A. 23. Molin G. (G) 8. Navik L.	8. Alexandersson V. 24. Beckman F. 20. Chika C. 19. Friday R. 21. Henriksson A. 18. Holmstrom A. 33. Krantz E. (G)
Coaches
Jakobsen D.	Holmberg F.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sundsvall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match GAIS is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Sundsvall won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
31.05.23	Gefle - Sundsvall	1:3 ✺
27.05.23	Sundsvall - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
23.05.23	Örgryte - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
15.05.23	Sundsvall - Helsingborg	1:1 ✺
08.05.23	Brage - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLTL
- GAIS
Swedish Superettan
01.06.23	GAIS - Örgryte	0:1 ✺
26.05.23	AFC Eskilstuna - GAIS	0:0 ✺
20.05.23	GAIS - Jönköpings Södra	0:1 ✺
13.05.23	Öster - GAIS	1:2 ✺
07.05.23	GAIS - Trelleborg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
27.11.21	GAIS - Sundsvall	2:1
15.06.21	Sundsvall - GAIS	2:0
12.09.20	GAIS - Sundsvall	3:1
15.08.20	Sundsvall - GAIS	3:0
Club Friendly
06.02.18	Sundsvall - GAIS	3:5
Swedish Superettan
03.08.14	Sundsvall - GAIS	4:0
13.04.14	GAIS - Sundsvall	1:0

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