Match Info

Date: 1 July 2022, Friday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Sundsvall		Malmö

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.4	Watch
	6.75	4.75	1.41
	7.5	5.2	1.37
	6.8	4.8	1.38
	7.63	5.09	1.42
	7	4.4	1.36	Watch
	7.2	4.95	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.13 ↓ (7.35)	4.88 ↓ (5.3)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
13.2%

Draw
19.3%

Malmö
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

17.7%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

17.6%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.8%	15.8%	61.4%

Sundsvall - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Sundsvall will win (votes: 13 - 22.8%). Malmö will win (votes: 35 - 61.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 48.8% – 74%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 5).

Sundsvall has the most likely position - 16 (40.79%), has project points - 21, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (75%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Malmö has the most likely position - 2 (17.11%), has project points - 54, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (16%), has a chance of win league (16%).

This event has small quality 19, importance 45, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 1.

Sundsvall is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Malmö is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Malmö is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Sundsvall: Hallenius L. (Injury)

There will not play in Malmö: Nalic A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Malmö: Christiansen A. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Sundsvall won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.06.22	Sundsvall - Djurgården	2:5 ✺
Club Friendly
19.06.22	AFC Eskilstuna - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.05.22	IFK Göteborg - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
23.05.22	Sundsvall - Mjällby	2:0 ✺
15.05.22	Norrköping - Sundsvall	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWL
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.06.22	Malmö - Helsingborg	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.06.22	Malmö - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.05.22	Degerfors - Malmö	0:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
26.05.22	Hammarby - Malmö	0:1 penalties ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.05.22	Malmö - Häcken	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
28.05.19	Malmö - Sundsvall	2:1
06.04.19	Sundsvall - Malmö	3:1
30.09.18	Malmö - Sundsvall	0:0
13.04.18	Sundsvall - Malmö	2:2
29.07.17	Sundsvall - Malmö	0:1
11.04.17	Malmö - Sundsvall	2:0
28.08.16	Sundsvall - Malmö	0:1

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