The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 13.3%
Draw 18%
Moreton City Excelsior 68.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.9%
20.1%
57%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
19.7%
58.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunshine Coast Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sunshine Coast Wanderers's form might have worsened.
Moreton City Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moreton City Excelsior's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunshine Coast Wanderers than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunshine Coast Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moreton City Excelsior, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Moreton City Excelsior Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Moreton City (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moreton City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Fitzsimmons L. 🟥,
40', 0 - 1, Murai S. ⚽,
45', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
75', 0 - 2, Murai S. ⚽,
78', 0 - 3, Murai S. ⚽,
81', 0 - 4, Vega K. A. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 5, Smith D. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).
Sunshine Coast is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Moreton City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Moreton City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sunshine Coast has had a series of away games.
In this match, Moreton City is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sunshine Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).
Including home match between the teams, Sunshine Coast won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5.
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