Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 18

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Slokas Stadions (Jūrmala)


	Super Nova		Leevon PPK

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.68	5.77	Watch
	1.41	4.6	5.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.59)	4.64 ↑ (4)	5.82 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Super Nova
64.5%

Draw
19.7%

Leevon PPK
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.6%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Super Nova's performance.

Leevon PPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leevon PPK than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Super Nova - Leevon PPK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Bite K. (G) 42. Artjomovs K. 5. Cirulis J. (C) 16. Ivanovs E. 3. Mamich D. 14. Nakamura R. 30. Penka R. 17. Sula D. 15. Tihonovics M. 6. Vejkrigers D. 21. Zengis R.	12. Saulitis H. (C) 15. Deaks O. 37. Korzans R. 21. Kravcenko K. 97. Muiznieks R. 14. Oliynyk M. 72. Ozols A. 16. Snegovs V. 95. Tatkov M. 4. Trapucka D. 22. Urujevs R.
Substitutes
88. Abramenko T. 55. Armanovics N. (G) 13. Butovskis A. 32. Cevers R. 26. Diallo B. 77. Muradjans A. 9. Silagailis H. 22. Skadmanis K. 7. Zihs V.	18. Cingulis M. 32. Grigorjevs D. (G) 19. Jaudzems A. 3. Jaunarajs-Janvaris R. 28. Lusis R. 77. Ozolins R. 7. Romenskis D. 27. Ulmis R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Sula D. ⚽,
36', Bite K. 🟨,
36', Muiznieks R. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Ivanovs E. ⚽, Zengis R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Urujevs R. ↓, Jaunarajs-Janvaris R. ↑,
46', Tatkov M. ↓, Jaudzems A. ↑,
57', Tihonovics M. ↓, Cevers R. ↑,
62', Snegovs V. ↓, Ulmis R. ↑,
62', Muiznieks R. ↓, Romenskis D. ↑,
65', Artjomovs K. ↓, Silagailis H. ↑,
65', Zengis R. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
68', Romenskis D. 🟨,
74', Penka R. ↓, Muradjans A. ↑,
76', Kravcenko K. ↓, Lusis R. ↑,
80', Sula D. ↓, Zihs V. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Muradjans A. ⚽, Zihs V. (A),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Super Nova FC
Latvian 1 Liga
24.08.24	Super Nova - JDFS Alberts	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Super Nova - Skanstes	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Super Nova - Riga 2	5:0 ✺
27.07.24	Ogre United - Super Nova	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Super Nova - Mārupe	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWTW
- Leevon PPK
Latvian 1 Liga
23.08.24	Leevon PPK - Ogre United	1:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
18.08.24	Leevon PPK - Riga	0:4 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
11.08.24	Leevon PPK - Smiltene	2:2 ✺
04.08.24	Olaine - Leevon PPK	3:1 ✺
29.07.24	Leevon PPK - Valmiera 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
03.05.24	Leevon PPK - Super Nova	0:1

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