Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 12

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Slokas Stadions (Jūrmala)


	Super Nova		Mārupe

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	4.5	Watch
				Watch
	1.54	4.1	4.94
	1.5	4.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.63)	4.37 ↑ (3.94)	4.65 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Super Nova
59.8%

Draw
20.7%

Mārupe
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

23.2%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

25.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Super Nova - Mārupe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Bite K. (G) 32. Cevers R. 5. Cirulis J. (C) 3. Mamich D. 17. Muradjans A. 14. Nakamura R. 30. Penka R. 9. Silagailis H. 6. Vejkrigers D. 21. Zengis R. 7. Zihs V.	40. Zandreiters R. (G) 11. Cebotarjovs V. 10. Griskovs G. 17. Korolcuks R. 7. Korsaks K. (C) 99. Marusii M. 27. Norkuss D. 12. Roga R. 9. Sajenko E. 21. Strauss G. 22. Zags T.
Substitutes
88. Abramenko T. 42. Artjomovs K. 13. Butovskis A. 26. Diallo B. 47. Komorovskis K. 29. Maculevics K. (G) 22. Skadmanis K. 20. Strupiss K. 94. Sula D.	26. Dobrajs M. 23. Kokorevics N. 4. Meiers M. 14. Molcanovs M. 19. Sadovnikovs R. 16. Sniedze R. 2. Upmalis R. 1. Urigajevs V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
13', Cevers R. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Penka R. ⚽, Zengis R. (A),
20', Griskovs G. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Penka R. ⚽, Zengis R. (A),
36', 3 - 0, Silagailis H. ⚽,
41', 4 - 0, Zihs V. ⚽, Penka R. (A),
42', Strauss G. 🟨,
43', Muradjans A. 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Cevers R. ↓, Abramenko T. ↑,
46', Muradjans A. ↓, Strupiss K. ↑,
46', Norkuss D. ↓, Kokorevics N. ↑,
46', 🟨,
63', Zihs V. ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
66', Silagailis H. ↓, Sula D. ↑,
73', Zengis R. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
74', 5 - 0, Mamich D. ⚽,
81', 6 - 0, Diallo B. ⚽,
84', 7 - 0, Penka R. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga (Relegation: ) and 7).

Recent matches Super Nova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mārupe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mārupe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Super Nova have a series of home games.

In this match Super Nova is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Super Nova FC
Latvian 1 Liga
12.07.24	Super Nova - Rīgas FS 2	1:0 ✺
07.07.24	Super Nova - Smiltene	2:3 ✺
29.06.24	Super Nova - Olaine	4:1 ✺
16.06.24	Valmiera 2 - Super Nova	2:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
02.06.24	Super Nova - JFK Ventspils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLL
- Mārupes SC
Latvian Cup
13.07.24	Mārupe - Auda Riga	1:4 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
06.07.24	Mārupe - Ogre United	3:2 ✺
30.06.24	Rēzekne - Mārupe	1:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
22.06.24	Mārupe - Smiltene	3:1 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
15.06.24	Smiltene - Mārupe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTWW

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