The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Ogre United 30.3%
Draw 26.4%
Super Nova 43.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
27.2%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
27.8%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Super Nova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ogre United - Super Nova Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Parfjonovs N. (G) 5. Sibass R. 13. Gulbis K. (C) 55. Kudelkins A. 27. Molotkovs A. 8. Mickevics T. 22. Estevez Fernandez L. 19. Cudars K. 30. Doroshenko A. 21. Ivulans M. 9. Fokam J.
90. Veisbuks D. (G) 5. Cirulis J. 25. Oss M. (C) 20. Ndiaye I. 3. Iida R. 24. Sitjakovs R. 15. Kirss R. 8. Patrikejevs I. 6. Emsis E. 9. Bamba 27. Pathe N.
Substitutes
14. Aditajs R. 20. Biscuhis K. (G) 18. Evelons E. 71. Marchuk A. 3. Marusiy T. 17. Mashchenko V. 7. Pulis I. 6. Vejkrigers D. 2. Ziemelis R.
2. Augusts K. 29. Baghdasaryan A. 7. Glaudans A. 10. Lizunovs V. 31. Petrovics T. (G) 16. Romanovs K. 22. Skadmanis K. 21. Tihonovics M.
Coaches
Mazurs V.
Rafalskis M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Cudars K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pathe N. ↓, Lizunovs V. ↑,
46', Ndiaye I. ↓, Romanovs K. ↑,
62', Fokam J. ↓, Marchuk A. ↑,
62', Ivulans M. ↓, Pulis I. ↑,
64', Bamba ↓, Glaudans A. ↑,
69', Gulbis K. ↓, Mashchenko V. ↑,
73', Emsis E. 🟨,
77', Kirss R. ↓, Tihonovics M. ↑,
87', Doroshenko A. 🟨,
90', Estevez Fernandez L. ↓, Ziemelis R. ↑,
90', Doroshenko A. ↓, Marusiy T. ↑,
Preview
Ogre United is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Super Nova has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Super Nova is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Ogre United has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:10 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ogre United against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).