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Current Win Probability
Surkhon Termez 54.9%
Draw 26.8%
Mashal Mubarek 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
23.9%
14.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.4%
22.9%
13.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Surkhon Termez's form might have worsened.
Mashal Mubarek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Surkhon Termez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mashal Mubarek than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Surkhon Termez - Mashal Mubarek Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Boymurodov O. (G) 17. Abdukhamidov S. 10. Abdullazhonov S. 14. Ashuboyev T. 9. Chinedu S. 3. Dzhumatov B. 22. Juraev J. 6. Shamsiev B. 66. Shaydulov B. 8. Sherbutaev K. 7. Tursunov D.
35. Tukhtaboev D. (G) 14. Abubakar R. 2. Akramov Z. 15. Alikulov M. 97. Chidi A. 37. Fayziev S. 69. Khadzhiev R. 10. Murtazoev K. 22. Muzaffarov N. 5. Ochilov S. 45. Parmonkulov S.
Substitutes
11. Friday R. 77. Karimov A. 19. Kodirov F. 86. Merganov D. (G) 27. Musaxonov M. 15. Ramazonov D. 26. Shukurullaev B. 18. Uktamov B. 23. Yusupov K.
8. Abduraymov S. 99. Ayagwa R. 9. Ganikhonov I. 28. Ismoilov E. 13. Nuriddinov N. 1. Soyibov A. (G) 96. Valionov M. 3. Vaniev A. 38. Yarashev S.
Coaches
Gafurov A.
Surov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Akramov Z. 🟨,
45+1', Muzaffarov N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Shamsiev B. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Ochilov S. ⚽,
62', Abdullazhonov S. ↓, Friday R. ↑,
62', Ashuboyev T. ↓, Uktamov B. ↑,
65', Muzaffarov N. ↓, Ganikhonov I. ↑,
65', Chidi A. ↓, Abduraymov S. ↑,
71', Abdukhamidov S. ↓, Yusupov K. ↑,
71', Tursunov D. ↓, Karimov A. ↑,
80', Abubakar R. ↓, Nuriddinov N. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Chinedu S. ⚽,
88', Karimov A. 🟨,
89', Abduraymov S. 🟨,
90', Akramov Z. ↓, Valijonov M. ↑,
90', Juraev J. ↓, Musaxonov M. ↑,
90', Murtazoev K. ↓, Ayagwa R. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Yusupov K. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 2.
Surkhon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mashal has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Surkhon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Surkhon is the clear favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Surkhon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
Uzbekistan
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Boymurodov O. (G) 
Chinedu S. 
Abubakar R. 
Khadzhiev R. 
Valionov M. 
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