The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AGMK 51.5%
Draw 27.7%
Surkhon Termez 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
28%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
28.1%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AGMK's performance.
Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Surkhon Termez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AGMK that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Surkhon Termez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
AGMK - Surkhon Termez Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. AGMK will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Ilyosov J. (G) 22. Ahrorov S. 6. Ulmasaliev A. 44. Karimov A. 7. Akhmadaliev D. 88. Haghnazari S. 5. Papava G. (C) 10. Sobirzhonov A. 28. Sentoku A. 17. Abdurazzakov N. 9. Kholmurodov A.
86. Merganov D. (G) 66. Shaydulov B. 6. Shamsiev B. 3. Dzhumatov B. 4. Nematkhonov N. 2. Karimov B. 10. Abdullazhonov S. 18. Uktamov B. 8. Sherbutaev K. 9. Chinedu S. 7. Tursunov D.
Substitutes
23. Abdunabiev K. (G) 11. Abdurakhmonov A. 13. Begimov E. 18. Islamov R. 27. Kojic U. 4. Kosimov M. 16. Senaga N. 3. Toirov S. 8. Turdialiev A.
17. Abdukhamidov S. 14. Ashuboyev T. 25. Boymurodov O. (G) 21. Dzebniauri T. 11. Friday R. 22. Juraev J. 19. Kodirov F. 39. Mirusmonov M. 26. Shukurullaev B.
Coaches
Kasymov M.
Gafurov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Abdurazzakov N. ⚽, Sobirzhonov A. (A),
29', Sentoku A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Uktamov B. ↓, Abdukhamidov S. ↑,
63', Abdullazhonov S. ↓, Friday R. ↑,
63', Sherbutaev K. ↓, Ashuboyev T. ↑,
71', Shamsiev B. 🟨,
72', Dzhumatov B. ↓, Shukurullaev B. ↑,
77', Sobirzhonov A. ↓, Senaga N. ↑,
77', Sentoku A. ↓, Islamov R. ↑,
77', Kholmurodov A. ↓, Kojic U. ↑,
80', Shamsiev B. ↓, Mirusmonov M. ↑,
84', Mirusmonov M. 🟨,
90+5', Ahrorov S. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Chinedu S. ⚽,
90+6', Chinedu S. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 1.
AGMK is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Surkhon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
AGMK could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, AGMK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
Watch
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Ilyosov J. (G) 
Haghnazari S. 
Papava G. (C) 
Sentoku A. 
Chinedu S. 
Kojic U. 
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