Match Info

UZBEKISTAN: Super League - Round 12

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Surkhon (Termez)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	Uzsport TV


	Surkhon Termez		Metallurg Bekabad

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.22	3	2.98
	2.24	3.31	3.17
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.28	3.14	3.21
	2.21	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.74)	3.06 ↓ (3.14)	3.12 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surkhon Termez
41.2%

Draw
29.7%

Metallurg Bekabad
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

28.9%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

28.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Surkhon Termez's form might have worsened.

Metallurg Bekabad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metallurg Bekabad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Surkhon Termez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Bekabad than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Bekabad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Surkhon Termez - Metallurg Bekabad Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Metallurg Bekabad will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Yuldoshev D. (G) 14. Abduhamidov S. 19. Abdurakhmonov M. 2. Askarov B. 3. Khamidzhonov S. 9. Khoshimov U. 4. Nematkhonov N. 10. Pletnev D. 66. Shaydulov B. (C) 8. Sherbutaev K. 7. Tursunov D.	35. Davronov R. (G) 22. Gafurbekov S. 33. Josovic I. 31. Milickovic M. 15. Otakhonov A. 4. Palic K. 11. Sharipov D. 8. Shaykulov I. 14. Toshkuziev A. 10. Ubaydullaev S. 5. Yazdandoost R.
Substitutes
17. Abdusalomov J. 40. Haydarov A. 27. Jumaev A. 22. Juraev J. 77. Karimov A. 86. Merganov D. (G) 15. Ramazonov D. 99. Saidazimov K. 6. Shamsiev B.	7. Abduraymov S. 24. Ergashev D. 19. Ismoilov E. 88. Kuziyev S. 25. Nematzhonov S. 63. Orinboev M. 87. Ortikov A. (G) 20. Sulaymonov M. 21. Tursunqulov H.
Coaches
Davletov F.	Stesevic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Ubaydullaev S. ⚽,
45+2', Abdurakhmonov M. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Abduhamidov S. ↓, Abdusalomov J. ↑,
48', Askarov B. 🟨,
60', Sharipov D. 🟨,
64', Milickovic M. ↓, Abduraymov S. ↑,
64', Otakhonov A. ↓, Ergashev D. ↑,
66', Tursunov D. ↓, Jumaev A. ↑,
66', Shaydulov B. ↓, Karimov A. ↑,
68', Josovic I. 🟨,
72', Ubaydullaev S. 🟨,
76', Ubaydullaev S. ↓, Tursunqulov H. ↑,
76', Shaykulov I. ↓, Kuziyev S. ↑,
77', Khoshimov U. ↓, Haydarov A. ↑,
80', Palic K. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Abdusalomov J. (Pen),
90', 2 - 1, Abdusalomov J. ⚽,
90', Sherbutaev K. ↓, Shamsiev B. ↑,
90+4', Yazdandoost R. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surkhon Termez
Uzbek League
15.06.24	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	1:1 ✺
31.05.24	Surkhon Termez - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:0 ✺
27.05.24	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Surkhon Termez	1:1 ✺
20.05.24	Surkhon Termez - Nasaf Qarshi	0:1 ✺
13.05.24	Surkhon Termez - Dinamo Samarqand	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWTLT
- Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbek League
14.06.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Bunyodkor	0:0 ✺
31.05.24	AGMK - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0 ✺
24.05.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Navbahor Namangan	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Andijan - Metallurg Bekabad	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Qizilqum	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
04.11.23	Metallurg Bekabad - Surkhon Termez	0:1
20.05.23	Surkhon Termez - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0
18.08.22	Surkhon Termez - Metallurg Bekabad	1:2
16.03.22	Metallurg Bekabad - Surkhon Termez	0:0
07.08.21	Metallurg Bekabad - Surkhon Termez	0:1
11.03.21	Surkhon Termez - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0
29.11.20	Metallurg Bekabad - Surkhon Termez	1:0

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