Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Istiqlol Stadium (Fergana)


	Neftchi Fargona		Surkhon Termez

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.00	8.75
	1.20	5.55	9.00
	1.22	6.77	13.08
	1.36	4.96	6.71	Watch
	1.17	6.75	13.00
	1.22	6.53	9.24
	1.20	6.00	10.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.29)	6.08 ↑ (5.22)	9.97 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Neftchi Fargona
75.5%

Draw
15.2%

Surkhon Termez
9.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71%

17.5%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Neftchi Fargona (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ergashev B. (G) 34. Sayfiev F. 4. Ciger B. 15. Abduganiyev N. 52. Kouao K. 77. Ratinho 5. Alibaev I. 22. Odilov A. 8. Jovovic V. 7. Ismoilov A. 18. Perica S.	86. Merganov D. (G) 66. Shaydulov B. 26. Shukurullaev B. 6. Shamsiev B. (C) 7. Tursunov D. 8. Sherbutaev K. 14. Ashuboyev T. 11. Friday R. 18. Uktamov B. 17. Abdukhamidov S. 21. Dzebniauri T.
Substitutes
19. Erimbetov A. 30. Fomin R. 9. Giyosov K. 20. Gofurov A. 32. Marusic Z. 27. Sarsenbaev N. 71. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 21. Ubaydullaev M.	10. Abdullazhonov S. 25. Boymurodov O. (G) 31. Ergashev K. 19. Kodirov F. 39. Mirusmonov M. 27. Musaxonov M. 32. Rahimjonov B. 70. Salikhjonov F. 23. Yusupov K.
Coaches
Ismoilov I.	Gafurov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Jovovic V. ⚽, Odilov A. (A),
24', Abduganiyev N. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Perica S. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Jovovic V. ↓, Giyosov K. ↑,
45+2', Shukurullaev B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Abdukhamidov S. ↓, Mirusmonov M. ↑,
46', Uktamov B. ↓, Mirusmonov M. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Yusupov K. ⚽,
64', Perica S. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Perica S. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
65', Odilov A. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,
68', Friday R. ↓, Abdullazhonov S. ↑,
81', Sherbutaev K. ↓, Salikhjonov F. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Neftchi Fargona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftchi Fargona	24	17	4	3	56:21	35	55
12	Termez Surkhon	24	7	7	10	19:28	-9	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League
04.09.26	Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona	6:2 ✺
Uzbek Cup
29.08.26	Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor	1:0 ✺
Uzbek League
18.08.26	Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona	4:1 ✺
13.08.26	Andijan - Neftchi Fargona	0:3 ✺
08.08.26	Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW
- Surkhon Termez
Uzbek League
04.09.26	Bunyodkor - Surkhon Termez	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	Surkhon Termez - AGMK	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez	0:0 ✺
13.08.26	Surkhon Termez - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:3 ✺
07.08.26	Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
05.03.26	Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona	0:3
02.11.25	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	2:1
15.06.25	Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona	0:0
09.11.24	Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona	0:0
15.06.24	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	1:1
22.10.23	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	1:1
07.05.23	Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona	2:2

Upcoming Matches