The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sutton United 47.8%
Draw 25.8%
Altrincham 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
26.1%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
24%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sutton United will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brits S. (G) 23. Nzuzi N. 12. Urpens D. 5. Nightingale W. 3. Topalloj B. 8. Taylor J. (C) 7. Osadebe E. 20. Francis J. 6. Bell C. 9. Babalola T. 18. Ogbonna D.
1. Evans O. (G) 4. Hinchy J. 5. Cooper J. 2. Banks L. 15. Taylor S. 22. Crawford T. (C) 7. Khan O. 8. Humbles L. 21. Lopata-White R. 17. Weaver L. 10. Barlow A.
Substitutes
. Bello O. 11. Folarin S. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 35. Kirk A. 14. Mussa O. 34. Njoku B. 40. Ruiz Ortiz R. J.
25. Bailey J. 12. Breckin K. 13. Firth A. (G) 26. Forde A. 40. Kirk C. 11. Knowles J. 16. Raymond R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Ogbonna D. ⚽, Babalola T. (A),
29', Nzuzi N. 🟨,
31', Taylor J. ↓, Mussa O. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Weaver L. 🟨,
59', Weaver L. ↓, Knowles J. ↑,
61', Nzuzi N. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
70', Cooper J. 🟨,
82', Lopata-White R. ↓, Breckin K. ↑,
82', Humbles L. ↓, Kirk C. ↑,
85', Bell C. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
85', Ogbonna D. ↓, Bello O. ↑,
86', Hinchy J. ↓, Raymond R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 2.
Sutton has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Altrincham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Altrincham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sutton has had a series of home games.
Sutton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
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Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Sutton
5
4
0
1
7:3
4
12
9
Altrincham
6
3
0
3
7:8
-1
9
Last Results with these Odds
Altrincham - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.6%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.