Match Info

ENGLAND: National League Cup - Round 4

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	MUTV, National League TV


	Oldham Athletic		Manchester United U21

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.6	3.25
	1.85	3.75	3.4
	1.95	4.01	3.46
	1.86	3.97	3.35
	1.86	3.94	3.44
	1.85	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.3)	3.84 ↑ (3.45)	3.38 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
49%

Draw
23.9%

Manchester United U21
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.2%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.3%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oldham Athletic's performance.

Manchester United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldham Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester United U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oldham Athletic - Manchester United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dennis J. (G) 14. Garner J. (C) 27. Hammond O. 5. Hobson S. 11. Kay J. 33. Khan O. 23. Moore K. 21. Sutton W. 32. Taylor S. 40. Teixeira D. 22. Worthington M.	1. Harrison E. (G) 3. Fredricson T. 6. Kone S. 4. Kukonki G. 11. Mather S. 8. McAllister F. (C) 10. Moorhouse J. 5. Murray S. 9. Obi C. 2. Ogunneye H. 7. Sharpe M.
Substitutes
36. Amadin A. 45. Amos D. (G) 43. Dielunvuidi V. 37. Holden J. 35. Moloney S. (G) 42. Muhammed A. . Mulcahy	. Curley R. . Kamson J. . Munro R. . Musa V. . Myles T. (G) . Rowe T. . Scanlon J.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Oldham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Man Utd U21 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Man Utd U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Man Utd U21 have a series of home games.

Oldham will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English National League
25.01.25	Gateshead - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
21.01.25	Oldham Athletic - York City	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Oldham Athletic - Aldershot Town	1:3 ✺
07.01.25	Eastleigh - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
01.01.25	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLTL
- Manchester United U21
English Premier League 2
26.01.25	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Manchester United U21	0:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
21.01.25	Manchester United U21 - Nordsjælland U21	1:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
18.01.25	Manchester United U21 - Aston Villa U21	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Manchester United U21 - Southampton U21	5:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
07.12.24	Manchester United U21 - Sparta Prague U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL

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