Match Info

National League - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Bulgaria	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
World	DAZN National League


	Sutton United		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.50	2.90
	2.30	3.25	2.60
	2.28	3.50	2.75
	2.30	3.74	2.99
	2.39	3.54	2.71	Watch
	2.20	3.70	2.90
	2.27	3.48	2.62
	2.30	3.50	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.61)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)	2.78 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sutton United
40.6%

Draw
26.2%

Hartlepool United
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.4%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

25.7%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sutton United's performance.

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartlepool United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Sutton United - Hartlepool United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brits S. (G) 12. Urpens D. 5. Nightingale W. 4. Kirk A. 3. Topalloj B. 8. Taylor J. (C) 6. Bell C. 20. Francis J. 7. Osadebe E. 18. Ogbonna D. 9. Babalola T.	32. Fisher N. (G) 7. Ilunga B. 6. McNally R. 5. Kouogun M. 3. John C. 8. Miley J. 4. Hunter J. (C) 12. Eccleston N. 14. Sheron N. 28. McKeown C. 10. Harris W.
Substitutes
24. Bello O. . Carter C. 11. Folarin S. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 16. Njoku B. 23. Nzuzi N. 22. Ruiz R.	2. Benn J. 30. Bondo T. 27. Gibson L. 9. Hugill J. 19. Popov C. 40. Smith A. (G) 21. Thornton C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Babalola T. ⚽, Urpens D. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Osadebe E. ⚽, Urpens D. (A),
34', 2 - 1, McKeown C. ⚽, John C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Ilunga B. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
54', Hunter J. ↓, Bondo T. ↑,
62', Ogbonna D. ↓, Nzuzi N. ↑,
62', Bell C. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
63', Taylor J. 🟨,
66', Folarin S. 🟨,
67', Sheron N. 🟨,
73', McKeown C. ↓, Popov C. ↑,
79', McNally R. ↓, Gibson L. ↑,
82', John C. 🟨,
89', Hugill J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 1.

Sutton has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hartlepool has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hartlepool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Sutton	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12:19	-7	12

Last Results with these Odds

Sutton United - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.18%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Sutton United - Leicester City U21	1:0 penalties ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Sutton United - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Woking - Sutton United	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Sutton United - Southampton U21	3:2 ✺
28.07.26	Sutton United - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWW
- Hartlepool United
English National League
15.08.26	Aldershot Town - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
English National League Cup
11.08.26	Hartlepool United - Middlesbrough U21	0:10 ✺
English National League
08.08.26	Hartlepool United - Barrow	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Hartlepool United - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Hartlepool United - Grimsby Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
03.03.26	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	0:2
18.10.25	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	3:3
08.02.25	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	1:2
05.10.24	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	4:3
English League Two
11.02.23	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	2:2
17.09.22	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	2:0
19.02.22	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	1:1

Sutton United - Hartlepool United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide