Match Info

K League 2 - Round 14

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports
World	K League TV


	Suwon		Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.1
	2.23	3.46	3.3
	2.2	3.69	2.96	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.06	3.44	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.19)	3.39 ↓ (3.51)	3.16 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon
43.5%

Draw
27.3%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.6%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.9%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Suwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Seongnam will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yang Han-Been (G) 27. Lee S. 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 20. Lee Ji-Sol 22. Seo Jae-Min 8. Han Chan-Hee 14. Goo Bon-Cheul 29. Choi Gi-Yun 10. Matheus Frizzo 44. Willyan 99. Ha Jung-woo	28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 23. You Ju-An 20. Lee Sang-Min 4. Venicio 22. Jung Seung-Yong 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 14. Elionay 16. Ryu Jun-sun 11. Lee Jun-Sang 18. Kim Min-jae 10. Villero P.
Substitutes
25. Jang Young-Woo 16. Jo Jin-Woo 70. Jung Seung-Bae 91. Kim Do-Yoon 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 19. Kim K. 7. Lee Jae-Won 1. Lee Yun-Oh (G) 9. Matheus Babi	13. Hong S. 2. Hwang Seok-Ki 36. Lee Jae-Wook 1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 17. Park Byeong-gyu 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 19. Yang Tae-yang 32. Yun Min-Ho 5. Yu Sun
Coaches
Park Kun-Ha	Jeon Kyung-jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Lee Ji-Sol 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ha Jung-woo ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
46', Lee Jun-Sang ↓, Hwang Seok-Ki ↑,
58', Willyan ↓, Jung Seung-Bae ↑,
66', Lee Jeong-Bin ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
67', Goo Bon-Cheul 🟨,
67', Kim Min-jae ↓, Yun Min-Ho ↑,
69', Han Chan-Hee ↓, Lee Jae-Won ↑,
72', Hwang Seok-Ki 🟨,
74', Lee Hyeon-yong 🟨,
79', Ryu Jun-sun ↓, Lee Jae-Wook ↑,
90+1', Rodrigo Angelotti 🟨,
90+2', You Ju-An ↓, Park Byeong-gyu ↑,
90+2', Choi Gi-Yun ↓, Kim Jeong-Hwan ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Suwon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwon FC	25	13	9	3	50:29	21	48
10	Seongnam	25	7	10	8	28:30	-2	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 2
23.05.26	Gyeongnam - Suwon	3:2 ✺
17.05.26	Chungnam Asan - Suwon	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Hwaseong - Suwon	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Suwon - Suwon Bluewings	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Suwon - Gimpo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTWT
- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
24.05.26	Seoul E-Land - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Jeonnam Dragons	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Yongin - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
17.04.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon	1:0
South Korean K-League 1
12.10.22	Suwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:1
28.08.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon	2:1
18.05.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon	2:2
03.04.22	Suwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:4
22.09.21	Suwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:1
29.05.21	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon	2:3

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