Match Info

K League 2 - Round 10

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports
World	K League TV


	Suwon		Suwon Bluewings

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	2	Watch
	3.2	3.3	1.95
	2.82	3.4	2.25
	3.04	3.6	2.31
	3.11	3.67	2.10	Watch
	2.85	3.36	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.11)	3.47 ↓ (3.67)	2.14 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon
30.2%

Draw
26.6%

Suwon Bluewings
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

25.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

25.2%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	44.4%	55.6%

Suwon - Suwon Bluewings Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Suwon Bluewings: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 27. Lee S. 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 3. Derlan 6. Kim Ji-hun 8. Han Chan-Hee 14. Goo Bon-Cheul 29. Choi Gi-Yun 10. Matheus Frizzo 44. Willyan 99. Ha Jeong-woo	30. Kim J. (G) 27. Lee Geon-hee 20. Hong Jeong-Ho 5. Ko Jong-hyun 23. Kim Min-Woo 17. Kang Hyun-Muk 24. Ko Seung-Beom 14. Jung Ho-yeon 99. Kim Do-yeon 10. Reis 9. Ilyuchenko S.
Substitutes
17. Andersen M. 77. Baek Kyeong 25. Jang Young-Woo 16. Jo Jin-Woo 70. Jung Seung-Bae 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 7. Lee Jae-Won 22. Seo Jae-Min 21. Yang Han-Been (G)	32. Jeong Dong-yun 77. Kim Ji-Hyun 1. Kim Min-Jun (G) 19. Kim Seong-Ju 11. Lee Jun-Jae 6. Lim Ji-hoon 3. Mo Kyung-bin 33. Park Dae-Won 16. Park Hyun-Bin
Coaches
Park Kun-Ha	Lee Jung-Hyo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Ko Seung-Beom ⚽, Reis (A),
41', Lee Geon-hee 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kim Ji-hun ↓, Seo Jae-Min ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Ha Jeong-woo ⚽, Matheus Frizzo (A),
58', Lee Geon-hee ↓, Lee Jun-Jae ↑,
58', Kim Do-yeon ↓, Park Hyun-Bin ↑,
61', Willyan ↓, Kim Jeong-Hwan ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Choi Gi-Yun ⚽, Lee S. (A),
74', Ilyuchenko S. ↓, Kim Ji-Hyun ↑,
74', Kang Hyun-Muk ↓, Kim Seong-Ju ↑,
77', Choi Gi-Yun ↓, Baek Kyeong ↑,
80', Jung Ho-yeon 🟨,
82', Han Chan-Hee 🟨,
84', 3 - 1, Ha Jeong-woo ⚽,
85', Ha Jeong-woo 🟨,
88', Park Hyun-Bin 🟨,
90+3', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Jang Young-Woo ↑,
90+3', Ha Jeong-woo ↓, Jo Jin-Woo ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 3.

In recent matches, Suwon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Suwon Bluewings is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Suwon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	25	16	5	4	39:20	19	53
2	Suwon FC	25	13	9	3	50:29	21	48

Last Results with these Odds

Suwon - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 30.04%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 2
26.04.26	Suwon - Gimpo	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Busan I Park - Suwon	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Suwon - Daegu	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Seoul E-Land - Suwon	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Suwon - Paju Frontier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTLW
- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 2
25.04.26	Suwon Bluewings - Busan I Park	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Gyeongnam - Suwon Bluewings	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Suwon Bluewings - Gimpo	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Suwon Bluewings - Cheongju	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Yongin - Suwon Bluewings	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
12.11.23	Suwon - Suwon Bluewings	2:3
05.08.23	Suwon Bluewings - Suwon	0:2
03.06.23	Suwon Bluewings - Suwon	1:2
11.03.23	Suwon - Suwon Bluewings	2:1
16.10.22	Suwon Bluewings - Suwon	3:0
06.08.22	Suwon - Suwon Bluewings	4:2
25.06.22	Suwon - Suwon Bluewings	3:0

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