Match Info

League One - Round 17

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Suzhou Sports Centre (Suzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Suzhou Dongwu		Meizhou Hakka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.10	2.95
	2.28	3.20	2.85	Watch
	2.24	3.23	3.24
	2.27	3.23	3.14	Watch
	2.20	3.15	3.20
	2.17	3.13	3.13	Watch
	2.20	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.65)	3.17 ↓ (3.35)	3.08 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
41.3%

Draw
28.9%

Meizhou Hakka
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.1%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

28%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Suzhou Dongwu's performance.

Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Meizhou Hakka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Suzhou Dongwu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Meizhou Hakka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Suzhou Dongwu - Meizhou Hakka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Liu Yu (G) 36. Yuan J. 5. Wang Yulong 15. Jin Qiang 8. Gao D. 6. Estrela (C) 16. Zhao S. 21. Song Pan 7. Farley Rosa 42. Arafat Ghenifa 14. Bugiel O.	12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 17. Yang Yihu (C) 26. Yu Wai-Lim 29. Sun Xiaobin 5. Pellenard T. 20. Wen Z. 16. Yang Chaosheng 24. Sakhi H. 6. Wang Haoran 33. Zhu Baojie 10. Triboulet V.
Substitutes
9. Ali M. 37. Askhan (G) 20. Chen Rong 33. Liu Jiqiang 45. Mijit M. 2. Song Bowei 18. Tai Jianfeng 26. Wang B. 17. Wang Jiancong 19. Wu Junjie 25. Yu Z. 24. Zhang Jiansheng	13. Lai J. 3. Liang Jiahao 22. Liao J. 28. Li Weijia 15. Luo H. 45. Su Jiale 30. Wang H. (G) 1. Wang Zehao (G) 32. Wen Q. 27. Zhang Enqi
Coaches
Guo H.	Zhu Jiong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Pellenard T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wang Haoran ↓, Su Jiale ↑,
46', Song Pan ↓, Ali M. ↑,
48', Yu Wai-Lim 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Ali M. ⚽, Bugiel O. (A),
62', Yang Yihu ↓, Liao J. ↑,
78', Wang Yulong ↓, Mijit M. ↑,
78', Pellenard T. ↓, Zhang Enqi ↑,
78', Arafat Ghenifa ↓, Zhang Jiansheng ↑,
78', Yuan J. ↓, Yu Z. ↑,
89', Zhu Baojie ↓, Lai J. ↑,
90', Gao D. ↓, Song Bowei ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 13).

Suzhou Dongwu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Meizhou Hakka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Suzhou Dongwu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Suzhou Dongwu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30:35	-5	27
14	Meizhou Hakka	25	7	4	14	25:50	-25	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
26.07.26	Dalian Kun City - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
17.07.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Juniors	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:2 ✺
28.06.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Ningbo Professional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTLTL
- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Jia League
26.07.26	Yanbian Longding - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Meizhou Hakka - Dalian Kun City	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Shaanxi Union - Meizhou Hakka	4:0 ✺
05.07.26	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
21.03.26	Meizhou Hakka - Suzhou Dongwu	1:2
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Meizhou Hakka	1:2 penalties
Chinese Jia League
03.10.21	Suzhou Dongwu - Meizhou Hakka	1:3
16.09.21	Meizhou Hakka - Suzhou Dongwu	3:1

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