Match Info

AFC Challenge League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Svay Rieng Stadium (Svay Rieng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cambodia	Bayon TV


	Svay Rieng		Manila Digger

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	4.45	4.85
	1.49	4.4	5.06
	1.49	4.24	5.34	Watch
	1.5	4.33	4.8
	1.51	4.3	5.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.3)	4.34 ↓ (5.2)	5.13 ↓ (8.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Svay Rieng
61%

Draw
21.1%

Manila Digger
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

17.9%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

17%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Svay Rieng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Svay Rieng's form might have worsened.

Manila Digger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manila Digger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Svay Rieng than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Svay Rieng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manila Digger than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manila Digger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Svay Rieng - Manila Digger Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Svay Rieng (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Svay Rieng (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Svay Rieng will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Svay Rieng (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Vireak D. (G) 13. Sareth K. 4. Hammouti F. 5. Soeuy V. (C) 16. Kim S. 28. Fujii R. 97. Shields C. 77. Tiago Alves 21. Silveira C. 98. Patrick 46. Peprah K.	16. Njie O. (G) 22. Taningco Z. 91. Sambou D. 5. Joof M. 6. Ashley D. 12. Manneh M. (C) 4. Badjie A. 14. Nishioka K. 15. Gai P. O. 21. Tafem D. 11. Touray B.
Substitutes
18. Aim S. (G) 22. Chantha C. 25. Chou S. 11. Min R. 45. Narong K. 30. Nhean S. 8. Ogawa Y. 1. Sang H. (G) 19. Seut B. 9. Sieng C. 35. Sophal D. 14. Sovan D.	1. Asong M. (G) 70. Baas J. 2. Barsanilla J. 10. Ceesay S. 27. Clarino O. 30. Dabao C. 28. Gasic N. (G) 99. Jallow M. 17. Jarvis J. 98. Limbo T. 8. Ugwu E. 9. Watanabe Y.
Coaches
McConkey M.	Versales K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Tiago Alves ⚽,
4', Gai P. O. 🟨,
10', Fujii R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Njie O. 🟨,
48', Patrick 🟨,
62', Tafem D. ↓, Ceesay S. ↑,
67', Tiago Alves ↓, Min R. ↑,
82', Silveira C. ↓, Nhean S. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Gai P. O. ⚽, Manneh M. (A),
86', Nishioka K. ↓, Watanabe Y. ↑,
90+3', Ceesay S. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Svay Rieng may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Svay Rieng is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Svay Rieng will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Svay Rieng won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Svay Rieng FC
Cambodian CPL
04.04.26	Phnom Penh Crown - Svay Rieng	1:4 ✺
22.03.26	Boeung Ket Angkor - Svay Rieng	0:0 ✺
Cambodian Hun Sen Cup
18.03.26	Svay Rieng - Kirivong Sok Sen Chey	4:1 ✺
Cambodian CPL
15.03.26	Svay Rieng - Angkor Tiger	2:0 ✺
AFC Challenge League
12.03.26	Svay Rieng - Phnom Penh Crown	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWWW
- Manila Digger
Philippines PFL
29.03.26	Manila Digger - Philippine Army	10:0 ✺
25.03.26	Tuloy - Manila Digger	0:14 ✺
21.03.26	Don Bosco Garelli - Manila Digger	2:6 ✺
18.03.26	Manila Digger - Aguilas-UMak	3:1 ✺
AFC Challenge League
12.03.26	Dewa United - Manila Digger	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Challenge League
01.11.25	Manila Digger - Svay Rieng	2:2

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