Match Info

WALES: LEAGUE CUP - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday


	Swansea City U21		Briton Ferry Llansawel

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.25	10
	1.24	7.01	6.76
	1.24	7.01	6.76
	1.36	4.75	5.5
	1.24	6.55	8.2
	1.44	5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.57)	5.93 ↑ (4.75)	7.07 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City U21
71.4%

Draw
15.6%

Briton Ferry Llansawel
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

19.1%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

19.4%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swansea City U21's performance.

Briton Ferry Llansawel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Briton Ferry Llansawel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City U21 than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swansea City U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Briton Ferry Llansawel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Swansea City U21 - Briton Ferry Llansawel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Watts E. (G) 4. Bates M. (C) 11. Cadogan M. 9. Davies R. 10. Fletcher K. 3. Jenkins K. 2. Jones H. 6. Ludvigsen K. 8. Smith L. 5. Stafford J. 7. Thomas J.	1. Wilson R. (G) 8. Ace M. 23. Bull J. 20. Demery C. 5. Evans K. 18. George R. 11. Goldsworthy C. 3. Horgan-Evans D. 21. Hutin M. 16. Jones J. (C) 24. Parker K.
Substitutes
. Faakye R. . Lissah F. . Lloyd B. . Mitchell R. (G) . Myers Z. . Parker S. . Veevers C.	2. Bates L. 25. Berry C. 7. Brock T. 4. Gammond A. 19. Payne J. 9. Walters T. 17. Wright M.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Briton Ferry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Swansea U21 have a series of home games.

In this match Swansea U21 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City U21
English Premier League Cup
07.10.23	Swansea City U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	3:1 ✺
English Professional Development League
02.10.23	Swansea City U21 - Watford U21	4:4 ✺
English Premier League Cup
29.09.23	Swansea City U21 - Hull City U21	4:0 ✺
English Professional Development League
25.09.23	Queens Park Rangers U21 - Swansea City U21	3:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
19.09.23	Swansea City U21 - Cardiff City U21	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWLW
- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru South
21.10.23	Pontardawe Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:4 ✺
06.10.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Goytre United	3:2 ✺
29.09.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Abergavenny Town	3:0 ✺
22.09.23	Cambrian United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
19.09.23	Ammanford - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW

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