Match Info

WORLD: WORLD CUP WOMEN - PLAY OFFS - 3RD PLACE

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)

Referee: Foster C. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Belgium	Canvas, RTBF
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport, Slovenia TV2
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay
Switzerland	SRF
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Sweden W		Australia W

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.75
	2.37	3.4	2.75
	2.48	3.5	2.75
	2.4	3.5	2.8
	2.52	3.56	2.82
	2.33	3.52	2.94
	2.45	3.55	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.74)	3.49 ↑ (3.25)	2.81 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sweden W
39.1%

Draw
27.2%

Australia W
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

29.2%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sweden W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Australia W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sweden W than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sweden W that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Australia W than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	38.5%	15.4%

Sweden W - Australia W Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sweden will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Australia will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sweden: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Musovic Z. (G) 14. Bjorn N. 13. Ilestedt A. 6. Eriksson M. 2. Andersson J. 16. Angeldal F. 23. Rubensson E. 19. Kaneryd J. 9. Asllani K. (C) 18. Rolfo F. 11. Blackstenius S.	18. Arnold M. (G) 21. Carpenter E. 15. Hunt C. 4. Polkinghorne C. 7. Catley S. 16. Raso H. 19. Gorry K. 23. Cooney-Cross K. 9. Foord C. 11. Fowler M. 20. Kerr S. (C)
Substitutes
20. Bennison H. 15. Blomqvist R. 21. Enblom T. (G) 12. Falk J. (G) 8. Hurtig L. 10. Jakobsson S. 7. Janogy M. 4. Lennartsson S. 5. Sandberg A. 22. Schough O. 17. Seger C. 3. Sembrant L.	8. Chidiac A. 22. Grant C. 14. Kennedy A. 3. Luik A. 12. Micah T. (G) 2. Nevin C. 17. Simon K. 10. van Egmond E. 5. Vine C. 6. Wheeler C. 1. Williams L. (G) 13. Yallop T.
Coaches
Gerhardsson P.	Gustavsson T.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sweden won 3.

Sweden is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Australia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Australia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sweden won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sweden W
FIFA World Cup Women
15.08.23	Spain W - Sweden W	2:1 ✺
11.08.23	Japan W - Sweden W	1:2 ✺
06.08.23	Sweden W - USA W	1:0 penalties ✺
02.08.23	Argentina W - Sweden W	0:2 ✺
29.07.23	Sweden W - Italy W	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWW
- Australia W
FIFA World Cup Women
16.08.23	Australia W - England W	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	Australia W - France W	1:0 penalties ✺
07.08.23	Australia W - Denmark W	2:0 ✺
31.07.23	Canada W - Australia W	0:4 ✺
27.07.23	Australia W - Nigeria W	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
11.11.22	Australia W - Sweden W	4:0
Olympic Games - Football Women
02.08.21	Australia W - Sweden W	0:1
24.07.21	Sweden W - Australia W	4:2
Friendly International Women
15.06.21	Sweden W - Australia W	0:0
Algarve Cup Women
01.03.17	Australia W - Sweden W	0:1
FIFA World Cup Women
16.06.15	Australia W - Sweden W	1:1

Sweden W - Australia W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide