Match Info

UEFA Nations League Women - League A - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Demetrescu I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Israel	Sport 4
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV5
Spain	RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	Discovery+, SVT 24, SVT 2, SVT Play
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Spain W		Sweden W

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.24	5.9	9.3
	1.25	5.92	9.36
	1.27	5.56	8.54	Watch
	1.29	5.9	11.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.27)	5.82 ↑ (5.56)	9.68 ↑ (8.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spain W
74.2%

Draw
16.1%

Sweden W
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

16.6%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Sweden W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Spain W - Sweden W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Coll C. (G) Barcelona 2. Batlle O. Barcelona 4. Paredes I. (C) Barcelona 16. Leon M. Barcelona 7. Carmona O. PSG 6. Bonmati A. Barcelona 14. Aleixandri L. Barcelona 11. Putellas A. Barcelona 22. Lopez V. Barcelona 18. Paralluelo S. Barcelona 8. Caldentey M. Arsenal	12. Falk J. (G) Hacken 4. Lundkvist H. San Diego Wave 14. Bjorn N. Chelsea 13. Ilestedt A. Eintracht Frankfurt 5. Sandberg A. Manchester United 15. Zigiotti Olme J. Manchester United 9. Asllani K. (C) London City Lionesses 16. Angeldal F. Real Madrid 19. Kaneryd J. Chelsea 11. Blackstenius S. Arsenal 18. Rolfo F. Manchester United
Substitutes
1. Astralaga E. (G) Eibar 15. Corrales L. London City Lionesses 3. Fernandez J. London City Lionesses 10. Hermoso J. Tigres UANL 21. Iannuzzi F. Atl. Madrid 9. Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. SL Benfica 5. Mendez M. Real Madrid 23. Nanclares A. (G) Athletic Bilbao 19. Navarro E. Real Madrid 20. Pina C. Barcelona 17. Redondo A. Real Madrid 12. Serrajordi C. Barcelona	20. Bennison H. Real Madrid 23. Blomqvist R. Eintracht Frankfurt 21. Enblom T. (G) Valerenga 2. Holmberg S. Hammarby 8. Ijeh E. AC Milan 22. Junttila-Nelhage E. Lyon 7. Jusu Bah M. Hacken 10. Kafaji R. Brighton 6. Nilden A. Tottenham 1. Ohman M. (G) Malmo FF 17. Schroder F. Hacken 3. Sembrant L. AIK
Coaches
Bermudez S.	Gustavsson T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', Angeldal F. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Putellas A. ⚽,
27', Paralluelo S. ↓, Pina C. ↑,
32', 2 - 0, Pina C. ⚽, Batlle O. (A),
35', 3 - 0, Putellas A. ⚽, Caldentey M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Lundkvist H. 🟨,
57', Kaneryd J. 🟨,
68', Lopez V. ↓, Navarro E. ↑,
68', Putellas A. ↓, Redondo A. ↑,
76', Blackstenius S. ↓, Schroder F. ↑,
81', Ilestedt A. 🟨,
84', Asllani K. ↓, Blomqvist R. ↑,
84', Rolfo F. ↓, Jusu Bah M. ↑,
84', Lundkvist H. ↓, Holmberg S. ↑,
88', Carmona O. ↓, Corrales L. ↑,
88', Caldentey M. ↓, Hermoso J. ↑,
88', Zigiotti Olme J. ↓, Bennison H. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 0, Pina C. ⚽, Navarro E. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

In this match, Spain is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Spain won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain W
UEFA Euro Women
27.07.25	England W - Spain W	2:1 penalties ✺
23.07.25	Germany W - Spain W	0:1 ET ✺
18.07.25	Spain W - Switzerland W	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Italy W - Spain W	1:3 ✺
07.07.25	Spain W - Belgium W	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWW
- Sweden W
UEFA Euro Women
17.07.25	Sweden W - England W	2:3 penalties ✺
12.07.25	Sweden W - Germany W	4:1 ✺
08.07.25	Poland W - Sweden W	0:3 ✺
04.07.25	Denmark W - Sweden W	0:1 ✺
Friendly International Women
26.06.25	Norway W - Sweden W	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League Women
05.12.23	Spain W - Sweden W	5:3
22.09.23	Sweden W - Spain W	2:3
FIFA World Cup Women
15.08.23	Spain W - Sweden W	2:1
Friendly International Women
07.10.22	Spain W - Sweden W	1:1

Spain W - Sweden W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide