Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 32

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Swindon Supermarine		Harrow Borough

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.1	3.8
	1.66	4	4
	1.68	4.56	3.89
	1.66	4.05	4.05
	1.66	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)	4.14 ↑ (3.75)	3.95 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
54.9%

Draw
22%

Harrow Borough
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49%

24.2%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

23.5%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swindon Supermarine's performance.

Harrow Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Swindon Supermarine - Harrow Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 2.

Swindon Supermarine is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Harrow is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Harrow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Swindon Supermarine have a series of guest games.

Recently Harrow have a series of home games.

In this match Swindon Supermarine is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
10.02.24	Chesham United - Swindon Supermarine	4:0 ✺
06.02.24	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Swindon Supermarine - Totton	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Hungerford Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:2 ✺
23.01.24	Poole Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTLL
- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
10.02.24	Harrow Borough - Didcot Town	3:3 ✺
06.02.24	Harrow Borough - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Harrow Borough - Hayes & Yeading United	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Totton - Harrow Borough	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Harrow Borough - Dorchester Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
14.10.23	Harrow Borough - Swindon Supermarine	2:2
18.02.23	Harrow Borough - Swindon Supermarine	1:3
English FA Trophy
21.12.22	Swindon Supermarine - Harrow Borough	1:2
English Southern League South Division
19.10.22	Swindon Supermarine - Harrow Borough	2:1
05.03.22	Harrow Borough - Swindon Supermarine	2:2
23.11.21	Swindon Supermarine - Harrow Borough	3:4
14.03.20	Swindon Supermarine - Harrow Borough	Canceled

Swindon Supermarine - Harrow Borough

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine - Harrow Borough Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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