Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 31

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Chesham United		Swindon Supermarine

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.75	6
	1.36	5	6
	1.36	5.64	6.24
	1.34	4.95	6.75
	1.36	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)	5.07 ↑ (4.35)	6.2 ↑ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
67.2%

Draw
18%

Swindon Supermarine
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

19%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 0.

Chesham in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Swindon Supermarine is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Chesham is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chesham to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Chesham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
06.02.24	Chesham United - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Winchester City - Chesham United	0:3 ✺
27.01.24	Chesham United - Walton & Hersham	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Hungerford Town - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Didcot Town - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWT
- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
06.02.24	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Swindon Supermarine - Totton	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Hungerford Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:2 ✺
23.01.24	Poole Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Swindon Supermarine - Walton & Hersham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
07.11.23	Swindon Supermarine - Chesham United	2:1
22.04.23	Swindon Supermarine - Chesham United	5:3
05.11.22	Chesham United - Swindon Supermarine	1:1
05.02.22	Swindon Supermarine - Chesham United	2:1
12.10.21	Chesham United - Swindon Supermarine	1:1
10.10.20	Chesham United - Swindon Supermarine	0:1
11.02.20	Chesham United - Swindon Supermarine	1:2

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