Match Info

League Two - Round 2

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: County Ground (Swindon)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)


	Swindon Town		Cambridge United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2	3.4	3.5
	2.18	3.15	3.35
	2.2	3.28	3.61
	3.61	3.60	1.92	Watch
	2	3.3	3.5
	2.19	3.32	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.91)	3.31 ↓ (3.61)	3.23 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
41.2%

Draw
29%

Cambridge United
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambridge United's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Swindon Town - Cambridge United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Cambridge will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Cambridge (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cambridge (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 5. Wright W. 8. Clarke O. (C) 16. Wilson-Brown T. 19. Snowdon J. 18. Kilkenny G. 44. Oldaker D. 7. Nichols T. 26. Munroe F. 23. Drinan A. 10. Smith H.	1. Eastwood J. (G) 2. Bennett L. 5. Morrison M. 6. Watts K. (C) 3. Purrington B. 7. Brophy J. 4. Ball D. 14. Knight B. 21. McLoughlin S. 11. Kaikai S. 9. Appere L.
Substitutes
17. Ameen B. 31. Bodin B. 14. Butterworth D. 9. Glatzel P. 3. Mabete F. 11. Tabor J. 12. Ward L. (G)	26. Gibbons J. 38. Hoddle G. 25. Hughes B. (G) 23. Jobe M. 10. Kachunga E. 18. Loft R. 17. Mpanzu P.
Coaches
Holloway I.	Harris N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Brophy J. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Smith H. ⚽, Snowdon J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Bennett L. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
51', McLoughlin S. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
53', 3 - 1, Oldaker D. ⚽,
64', 3 - 2, Kaikai S. ⚽,
69', Oldaker D. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
74', Nichols T. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
74', Snowdon J. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
81', Watts K. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
82', Munroe F. 🟨,
89', Munroe F. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
90+6', Brophy J. 🟨,
90+6', Butterworth D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.

Swindon could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Swindon: Minturn H. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Cambridge: Lavery S. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Swindon: Bodin B. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Cambridge United - the odds 3.82 are the expected chance of winning is 24.63%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English League Two
02.08.25	Walsall - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Eastleigh - Swindon Town	2:3 ✺
19.07.25	Chippenham Town - Swindon Town	1:5 ✺
05.07.25	Swindon Supermarine - Swindon Town	0:4 ✺
English League Two
03.05.25	Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWWT
- Cambridge United
English League Two
02.08.25	Cambridge United - Cheltenham Town	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Cambridge United - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
15.07.25	Braintree Town - Cambridge United	0:3 ✺
05.07.25	Cambridge City - Cambridge United	1:3 ✺
English League One
03.05.25	Cambridge United - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
10.08.21	Cambridge United - Swindon Town	1:0 penalties
English League Two
26.12.19	Swindon Town - Cambridge United	4:0
21.09.19	Cambridge United - Swindon Town	0:1
19.04.19	Cambridge United - Swindon Town	0:0
23.10.18	Swindon Town - Cambridge United	0:2
17.03.18	Cambridge United - Swindon Town	1:3
30.09.17	Swindon Town - Cambridge United	2:0

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