The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 35.2%
Draw 27.2%
Colchester United 37.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.3%
28%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
26.9%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colchester United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colchester United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Swindon Town - Colchester United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 2. Clark M. 5. Negru S. 34. Kirkman B. 26. Butler D. 25. Thomson J. 27. Munda A. 8. Clarke O. (C) 29. Hackford A. 23. Drinan A. 19. Snowdon J.
22. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 2. Hunt R. 5. Tucker J. (C) 20. Raggett S. 3. Iandolo E. 12. Sesay M. 26. Williams J. 27. Thorn O. 10. Payne J. 7. Anderson H. 14. Kouassi K.
Substitutes
14. Butterworth D. 18. Debayo J. 15. Hungbo J. 21. Majekodunmi K. 20. Middlemas B. 39. Millard L. 12. Ward L. (G)
11. Chiwome L. 6. Digby P. 9. Ihionvien B. 44. Kuffour S. 1. Smith T. (G) 24. Terry F. 17. Williams J.
Coaches
Holloway I.
Cowley D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Kouassi K. ⚽, Sesay M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Clarke O. ↓, Middlemas B. ↑,
46', Kirkman B. ↓, Majekodunmi K. ↑,
46', Hackford A. ↓, Millard L. ↑,
49', Drinan A. (Penalty Awarded),
49', 1 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽,
54', Butler D. 🟨,
57', Williams J. ↓, Kuffour S. ↑,
59', Munda A. 🟨,
64', Millard L. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
69', Thorn O. ↓, Ihionvien B. ↑,
70', Sesay M. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
70', Kouassi K. ↓, Chiwome L. ↑,
75', Munda A. ↓, Debayo J. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽, Thomson J. (A),
80', Iandolo E. ↓, Terry F. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Swindon: Holman F.
(Inactive)
Inwood S.
(Injury)
Kirkman B.
(Inactive)
Virtue M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Colchester: Perry B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Swindon: Hungbo J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T.
(Inactive)
Leake J.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Swindon
13
4
4
5
13:16
-3
16
21
Colchester
12
2
6
4
11:16
-5
12
Outrights of English League Two for now
Swindon: 1.77% Colchester: 1.58%
Last Results with these Odds
Swindon Town - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.26%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
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Ripley C. (G) 
Clark M. 
Negru S. 
Thomson J. 
Drinan A. 
Lo-Tutala T. (G) 
Williams J. 
Majekodunmi K. 
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