Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cardiff City		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.00	8.50	Watch
	1.33	5.50	8.25
	1.30	5.50	8.00	Watch
	1.30	5.90	9.55
	1.32	5.33	8.29
	1.25	5.85	9.35
	1.28	5.91	8.37	Watch
	1.34	6.00	8.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.36)	5.75 ↑ (4.94)	8.64 ↑ (7.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
72.7%

Draw
16.4%

Swindon Town
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

18.8%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cardiff City - Swindon Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trott N. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 38. Ng P. (C) 4. Osho G. 3. Bagan J. 14. Turnbull D. 18. Robertson A. 11. Tanner O. 45. Ashford C. 39. Davies I. 9. Salech Y.	1. Ripley C. (G) 2. Clark M. 5. Negru S. 16. Inwood S. 34. Kirkman B. 24. Virtue-Thick M. 7. Nichols T. 20. Middlemas B. 39. Millard L. 23. Drinan A. (C) 9. Glatzel P.
Substitutes
40. Anyadike N. 27. Colwill J. 43. Moreno P. 8. Moylan J. 47. Robinson C. 33. Tankiewicz R. 30. Tyrer H. (G) 16. Willock C.	18. Debayo J. 38. Griffiths-Brown L. 15. Hungbo J. 28. Palmer O. 17. Tafazolli R. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	Holloway I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Osho G. (Own goal),
28', 1 - 1, Salech Y. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 2 - 1, Salech Y. ⚽, Ashford C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Inwood S. ↓, Tafazolli R. ↑,
58', Turnbull D. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
58', Davies I. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
58', Millard L. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
58', Nichols T. ↓, Debayo J. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Glatzel P. ⚽, Hungbo J. (A),
63', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
64', Clark M. ↓, Griffiths-Brown L. ↑,
72', Tanner O. ↓, Moylan J. ↑,
77', 3 - 2, Moylan J. ⚽, Salech Y. (A),
82', Colwill J. 🟨,
84', Debayo J. 🟨,
90', Debayo J. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Swindon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cardiff is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Cardiff City - Roma	4:1 ✺
25.07.26	Forest Green Rovers - Cardiff City	1:5 ✺
14.07.26	Cork City - Cardiff City	1:6 ✺
11.07.26	Cardiff City - Midtjylland	0:6 ✺
English League One
02.05.26	Mansfield Town - Cardiff City	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLL
- Swindon Town
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Forest Green Rovers - Swindon Town	1:4 ✺
28.07.26	Swindon Town - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Swindon Town - Bristol City	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	Crystal Palace - Swindon Town	5:1 ✺
14.07.26	Swindon Town - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
12.08.25	Cardiff City - Swindon Town	2:1
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Swindon Town - Cardiff City	2:4

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