The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oldham Athletic 51.3%
Draw 26%
Swindon Town 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.9%
26.9%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
26.9%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oldham Athletic's performance.
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldham Athletic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
Oldham Athletic - Swindon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Swindon will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Swindon (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5 - Swindon (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Swindon (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hudson M. (G) 2. Scott-Morriss G. 5. Daniels D. 23. Delaney R. 3. Robson J. 17. Fawunmi F. 8. Norburn O. (C) 7. Appiah-Forson K. 15. Drummond K. 20. Nevitt E. 10. Kavanagh C.
1. Ripley C. (G) 21. Majekodunmi K. 5. Negru S. 17. Tafazolli R. 2. Clark M. 20. Middlemas B. 27. Munda A. 8. Clarke O. (C) 39. Millard L. 23. Drinan A. 19. Snowdon J.
Substitutes
14. Chilvers N. 9. Fondop M. 6. Monthe M. 4. Pett T. 24. Temple L. 22. Wilson A. (G) 18. Woods R.
18. Debayo J. 9. Glatzel P. 7. Nichols T. 28. Palmer O. 22. Pearman J. 25. Thomson J. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Mellon M.
Holloway I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Nevitt E. ⚽, Kavanagh C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Munda A. ↓, Thomson J. ↑,
46', Snowdon J. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
59', Middlemas B. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
59', Millard L. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
68', Nevitt E. ↓, Fondop M. ↑,
68', Fawunmi F. ↓, Chilvers N. ↑,
68', Daniels D. ↓, Monthe M. ↑,
71', Clarke O. 🟨,
75', Majekodunmi K. 🟨,
77', Clarke O. ↓, Pearman J. ↑,
83', Ripley C. 🟨,
84', 2 - 0, Kavanagh C. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Drummond K. ↓, Pett T. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 0, Fondop M. ⚽, Kavanagh C. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 0.
In recent matches, Oldham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Swindon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Oldham could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Oldham: Scott-Morriss G.
(Red Card)
Stevens J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Swindon: Holman F.
(Inactive)
Inwood S.
(Injury)
Snowdon J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Swindon: Glatzel P.
(Inactive)
Hungbo J.
(Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Oldham: 2.41% Swindon: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Swindon
10
3
2
5
9:14
-5
11
21
Oldham
9
2
2
5
9:13
-4
8
Last Results with these Odds
Oldham Athletic - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.95%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Swindon Town - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.17%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Hudson M. (G) 
Daniels D. 
Delaney R. 
Robson J. 
Norburn O. (C) 
Majekodunmi K. 
Negru S. 
Clark M. 
Monthe M. 
Glatzel P. 
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