Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: County Ground (Swindon)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Swindon Town		Tottenham Hotspur U21

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	4	Watch
	1.63	4	3.9
	1.66	4.2	4.2
	1.64	4.24	4.27
	1.68	4.3	4.23	Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.4
	1.66	4.25	4.23	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.07)	4.14 ↑ (3.68)	4.05 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
55.1%

Draw
22.2%

Tottenham Hotspur U21
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

24.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

24.1%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swindon Town's performance.

Tottenham Hotspur U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tottenham Hotspur U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swindon Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur U21 than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tottenham Hotspur U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Swindon Town - Tottenham Hotspur U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Barden D. (G) 14. Longelo-Mbule R. 45. McCormick A. 17. King J. 4. Delaney R. 16. Cain J. 42. Ameen B. 7. Cotterill J. 22. Butterworth D. 11. McGurk S. 9. Glatzel P. (C)	77. Archer S. (G) 55. Ashcroft T. 59. Cassanova D. J. (C) 74. King M. 57. Kyerematen R. 53. Robson M. 65. Black L. 75. Akhamrich Y. 63. Ajayi D. 60. Williams J. 49. Hall T.
Substitutes
23. Drinan A. 37. Evans R. (G) 46. Foye O. 24. Hall G. 33. McGregor J. 39. Mitchell D. 2. Sobowale T.	62. Andiyapan W. 71. Arganese-McDermott P. 72. Baptiste A. 73. Irow O. 61. Linton J. 56. Maguire A. (G) 58. McKnight M.
Coaches
Holloway I.	Burnett W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Hall T. ⚽, Akhamrich Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Delaney R. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Butterworth D. ⚽, Glatzel P. (A),
61', Cassanova D. J. ↓, Andiyapan W. ↑,
71', King J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
71', Butterworth D. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
71', Ameen B. ↓, Drinan A. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, McGurk S. ⚽, Glatzel P. (A),
74', Williams J. ↓, Irow O. ↑,
75', Black L. ↓, McKnight M. ↑,
79', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Foye O. ↑,
83', Ajayi D. ↓, Linton J. ↑,
90+2', Kyerematen R. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Swindon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tottenham U21 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tottenham U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Swindon will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Swindon Town - Colchester United	2:1 ET ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Swindon Town - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Salford City - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Swindon Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Cheltenham Town - Swindon Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLLW
- Tottenham Hotspur U21
English Premier League 2
01.11.24	Crystal Palace U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	5:1 ✺
English National League Cup
29.10.24	Ebbsfleet United - Tottenham Hotspur U21	1:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
25.10.24	Tottenham Hotspur U21 - Reading U21	1:4 ✺
05.10.24	Arsenal U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	2:5 ✺
28.09.24	Tottenham Hotspur U21 - Leeds United U21	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLWL

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